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Tag: Inflation

STEELLDYThrough Steelldy consulting company, I assist companies, fintechs, and institutions in two key areas: ◙ Economic and financial statistical modeling via our DaaS & SaaS software (macroeconomic index platform). Analysis of the transition to a multipolar world: stablecoins, gold, copper, precious metals, industrial metals, oil, dollars, euros, yuan, yen, rubles, CBDC, BISIH, mBridge, Unified Ledger, BRICS, and global regulations. ◙ Web3 Law & Taxation Legal and Tax structuring of blockchain-based projects, RWA, tokenization, cryptocurrency (stablecoins, CBDC), decentralized autonomous organizations (DAO), MiCA compliance, ISO 20022, AI, MANBRIC/biotech technologies, robotics, smart cities, and ESG taxonomy.

Bearded businessman analyzing financial statistics on a laptop, with stock market graphs in the background.

Analyse de marché

Markets

Why Analysts Say It’s Not Too Late to Bet on Gold for Long-Term Gains

https://www.steelldy-indices.com Despite acknowledging potential short-term headwinds, analysts remain broadly optimistic about gold's future price trajectory, with many expecting continued growth over the next several years. The path to $6,000 per ounce remains open, even after a correction in 2026. Central banks continue to diversify their reserves aggressively, a major driver of demand. After the escalation…

07/07/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

High-angle shot of fine gold bars with a luxury watch and branded packaging.

Markets

Five Key Reasons Gold Could Surge Above $5,000 by 2027

Gold prices are currently near fair value, setting the stage for further growth, according to WisdomTree's commodity and macroeconomic research head, Nitesh Shah. He believes the sharp correction in gold prices earlier this year did not mark the end of the long-term bull market but rather a return to fair value. Shah sees an opportunity…

Why OCBC Cut Its Gold Price Outlook by 15% While Other Banks Stay Bullish

On the last day of June, gold traded at $4,023 per ounce. Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation (OCBC), a major Southeast Asian bank, lowered its year-end gold forecast from $5,100 to $4,360, citing rising real yields, a stronger U.S. dollar, and a more hawkish Federal Reserve policy. https://www.steelldy-indices.com The bank also reduced its silver forecast by about…

Gold Vulnerable to Further Declines Amid Rising Oil Prices and Hawkish Fed, Analyst Warns

Gold prices are expected to fall below $3,900 per ounce this year before bottoming out, with a subsequent rally to $5,300 by 2027, according to a forecast from TD Securities. The precious metal has started the week on a disappointing note, hovering near support around $4,000 per ounce as persistent inflation concerns weigh on the…

Gold Dips Below $4,000 on Fed Hawkishness, but Heraeus Sees Support from Easing Inflation Expectation

According to precious metals market analysts at Heraeus, gold and silver prices are expected to rise soon due to declining oil prices, which ease inflation expectations and reduce bond yields, while developments in the Pacific region suggest a potential shift of the gold market's center of gravity to the East. In their latest review, analysts…

Continued rate hikes. ECB towards 3.75%. Fed towards 5.75% by end of 2026

These projections come from a complete hybrid Monte Carlo simulation (incorporating coupled stochastic processes, embedded HMM regime-switching, an affine term structure for rates, and Poisson jumps for geopolitical shocks), calibrated on Steelldy Risk Engine 12.4 data (backtests 1971-2026), ECB staff projections from June 2026, and current macro flows (Bund 10Y ≈ 2.86-2.90%, ECB deposit rate…

Gold vs. Bonds: As Central Banks Hike Rates, Investors Ditch the Yellow Metal for Yield

Gold is currently weakening despite inflation, due to several key factors. In May, Germany’s inflation rate was surprisingly moderate at 2.6% annually, significantly lower than the eurozone’s 3.2%. This deviation from the European trend was primarily driven by a temporary fuel subsidy introduced by the German government, which reduced gasoline and diesel prices. However, this…

06/26/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Black and white image of gold bars placed on scattered US dollar bills, symbolizing wealth.

Analyse de marché

Beyond the Bullion: Quantifying Gold’s Future Value in a Debt-Ridden World

The technical analysis posits a bullish outlook for gold, targeting $17,250/oz, underpinned by structural US fiscal dominance, accelerated de-dollarization, and a monetary re-evaluation of gold as an alternative reserve asset. As of June 13, 2026, US gross public debt stands at approximately $39.2 trillion, with debt held by the public at around $31.6 trillion,…

06/16/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Industrial plant with reflection in water at twilight, showing smoke stacks and lights.

Analyse de marché

Refinery Activity and Supply Chain Integrity

Executive Summary Satellite signatures combined with AIS vessel tracking and OSINT currently indicate elevated refinery activity in US/Europe amid global disruptions, but severe anomalies in Middle East tanker flows through the Strait of Hormuz. As of mid-June 2026, Hormuz transits are near-historic lows (often <10 vessels/day, down 70-97% from baseline), with widespread "dark" operations…

06/12/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Two gold bars rest on a pile of US dollar bills, symbolizing wealth and prosperity.

Analyse de marché

Inflation Surge Crushes Gold & Silver Amidst Geopolitical Turbulence

Gold prices have plummeted, trading near $4,078.00, down 4.26%, and silver near $63.605, down 2.66%, following Wednesday's trading close. This decline is attributed to a higher-than-expected May inflation report, rising Treasury yields, and escalating US-Iran tensions, which have overshadowed demand for safe-haven assets. US consumer prices rose 0.5% in May and 4.2% year-on-year, with core…

06/11/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac