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En chiffres

Econometric deconstruction of the chart “Where billionaires are common, poverty is rare” (EconChrisClarke)

The graph presents a linear regression between billionaire density and poverty, with the equation Fit: y = 78.9 - 43.3 log10(x), R² = 0.581 and n = 64. A tenfold increase in billionaire density is associated with a 43.3-percentage-point decrease in the population living below the $30/day poverty line. However, this correlation does not establish…
5 days ago0Comments

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Close-up of various currency notes including US dollar and Ukrainian hryvnia.
En chiffres

Дедолларизация и отсутствие альтернативы

Дедолларизация, это не бинарный «крах» доллара, а медленный, асимметричный и глубоко структурный процесс перераспределения функций мировой резервной валюты. Доллар теряет долю в резервах (с 71% в 1999 г. до ~57% в 2026 г.), но сохраняет доминирование в международных расчетах и торговле благодаря сетевому эффекту, ликвидности и институциональной инерции. Ключевой вывод: мир движется от монополярной долларовой…
11/03/20260Comments

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Close-up image of a stack of US dollars with a $10,000 band, symbolizing wealth and finance.
En chiffres

Золото по $10 000 к концу десятилетия? Фрэнк Джустра объяснил, что может изменить рынок

Фрэнк Джустра не делает традиционных прогнозов цен на золото, неоднократно заявляя, что «не имеет ни малейшего представления» о точной цене, и сосредоточивается вместо этого на направлении движения рынка и фундаментальных факторах, определяющих его динамику. Высокие ценовые уровни, обсуждаемые в интервью, обычно иллюстрируют сценарии восстановления монетарной роли золота или потенциальных денежных кризисов, а не представляют собой…
10/21/20260Comments

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Elegant architectural facade of Banque de France in Avignon against clear blue sky.
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Spread Soars Beyond Historical Records, Signaling Imminent French Bond Market Collapse

The French debt crisis is escalating, raising increasing concerns about the nation's sovereign debt. On Monday, it was reported that Shinji Kunibe, a bond portfolio manager at Japan's Sumitomo Mitsui DS Asset Management, decided to fully sell his holdings of French debt securities. Kunibe explained his decision by noting that while French bonds had offered…
10/09/20260Comments

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Detailed financial chart showing a downward trend, ideal for economics and stock market analysis.
Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché En chiffres MarketsMarkets

The Monte Carlo analysis of JPY carry trade

The Monte Carlo analysis of JPY carry trade unwind uses a Merton Jump-Diffusion model to simulate USD/JPY dynamics over a 90-day horizon, capturing both continuous exchange rate movements and sudden discontinuities from forced position closures. The model incorporates calibrated parameters including a spot rate of 158.5, stressed volatility ranging from 9% to 18%, and jump…
08/10/20260Comments

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A satellite orbits Earth, showcasing a stunning blue ocean and continents from space.
En chiffres MarketsMarkets

Structured Quantitative Financial Analysis of SpaceX. Consolidated Accounts for Q2 2026 (period ended June 30, 2026)

Revenue decomposition and growth dynamics for Q2 FY26 Consolidated revenue reached 7,814, representing a 91.94% year-over-year increase from 4,071. The total revenue growth of 3,743 is driven by AI compute capacity rental (approx. +1,880, 50.2% of the increase), Starlink Connectivity (approx. +1,700, 45.4%), and Space Launch & other (residual +163). Key margins for Q2 FY26:…
08/06/20260Comments

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En chiffres

Closure of the straits (Malacca/Hormuz). Systemic famine scenario 2026-2028 : in the French context.

Analysis of signals from Steelldy Engine G (maritime AIS), Steelldy Engine F (fertilizer blockages), Steelldy Engine M (semantic panic), and Steelldy Engine O (strait closure probabilities) shows exceptional statistical convergence. Michael Yon's analysis (Feb-Apr 2026) regarding prolonged Strait of Hormuz closure and imminent Malacca Strait threats is now a 78% market reality (95% CI: 72–84%),…
05/02/20260Comments

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Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché En chiffres

Evaluation of Kepler Cheuvreux’s Asset Management Methodology (PE/Private Credit Integration via Ellipsis AM)

Kepler Cheuvreux has undergone a major strategic transformation since 2020. The integration of Ellipsis AM (Private Equity focused on Small/Mid-Caps) along with the approval of a Private Credit arm (Direct Lending/Structured Credit) of €12 Billion (AUM) currently underway (Run-Rate) represents one of the most successful examples of capital arbitrage and institutional leverage in Europe. …
04/22/20260Comments

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