In 2026, gold has already significantly risen in price. Therefore, when Jim Rickards says the $10,000 mark is near, it is appropriate to ask: why? His forecast is not based on guesswork. He uses a pattern that has already proven effective: it is what allowed predicting the 2015 price bottom with an error of only…

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The Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates by another 25 basis points has drawn market attention, with 10-year Treasury yields exceeding 5%.
However, Laurent Morel believe investors are overemphasizing the Fed's actions. While central banks can influence demand through borrowing costs, they cannot address physical supply constraints, no rate hike can produce an extra…
The hypothesis is that crypto flows become a significant channel for High Net Worth Individuals (HNWI) leaving the UAE. The core issue is that direct capital flow data is unobservable, and all available proxies (e.g., exchange volume, on-chain data, stablecoin supply, real estate sales, surveys, suspicious activity reports) suffer from significant biases. These proxies measure…
Summary. Quantitative Analysis of Gold Performance (+123% Since September 2023) and 2026-2027 Projections Post-Fed Decision
A. Executive Summary.
Gold spot price (Sept 18, 2026): $4,344.67, consolidating post-Fed.
- Performance since Sept 2023: +125%, indicating a structural bull market.
- Fed decision (Sept 16, 2026): Raised rates by 25 bps to 3.75-4.00%, the first hike since…
The provided article is a financial news analysis of the September 19-20, 2023, FOMC meeting, confirmed by internal data and factual verification. All key assertions, such as a 5.25%-5.50% target rate, a ~97% pause probability, NFP of +187,000, unemployment at 3.8%, core CPI at 4.3%, and a $95 billion/month QT, are accurate.
The meeting…
The structural relationship between gold and US real rates has broken since 2022. Previously, gold moved inversely to real rates; now, gold reaches all-time highs despite elevated real rates (~2.0%). Central banks from emerging markets have structurally increased gold purchases to ~1,000 tonnes/year (2022-2024), up from ~500 tonnes, shifting away from dollar reserves. This creates…
A structural definition of a Single Family Office Type IV, Tech Founder is provided, based on the WEF Davos 2024 Family Office Report and BIS Basel Private Wealth Statistics 2025. This SFO Tech is distinguished from a traditional SFO by three parameters: the founder's residual stake in the original company (over 15% of net worth),…
In a recent TradingView article, the question was raised whether gold could surpass $4,500 if U.S. employment data lowers expectations for a Fed rate hike in September. Perhaps the better question is why gold has become so sensitive to every hint, whisper, and eyebrow movement from the Federal Open Market Committee. Gold traded around $4,477…
Thesis. Raw materials are regaining a core portfolio role (hedging a multipolar world and AI electrification), while European ESG shifts from an obligation-based regime to a market-driven one, less reporting, more pricing. Key Data. January 2026 records: gold ~$5,405/oz (2025 annual average: $3,431, +44%), silver >$121/oz, LME copper $13,238/t. Citi scenarios (Q3 2026): Brent…
Gold was indeed a high-Sharpe asset during certain windows from 2025 to early 2026, and long-term bonds did under perform. However, as of September 7, 2026, gold does not "beat tech stocks" over 12 months. NVDA and the S&P have higher TTM returns than those shown in the table.
The illustrative recalibration (TTM window,…