The 2026 US-Iran conflict will evolve into a prolonged war of attrition, with asymmetric consequences unfavorable to US allies and negative electoral implications for the Trump administration in the November 2026 midterms. Five structural pillars converge: 1. Economic Asymmetry of Attrition: Unfavorable cost-effectiveness ratios for the defender (60:1 to 5,000:1) create a spiral of exhaustion…
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Predictions for the 2026 midterm elections
Predictions for the 2026 midterm elections are overwhelmingly negative for the Republican Party (GOP). Trump's approval rating…
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The US Treasury announcement on 03/13/2026 temporarily lifts restrictions on Russian oil
The US Treasury issued a temporary waiver on restrictions for certain stranded…
Return of Russian oil. Systemic inversion of hydrocarbon flows (Russia–EU). Collapse of the risk premium and gravitation of liquidity clusters.
Europe has hit a mathematical wall: the blockage of the Strait of…
Liste des exploitations pétrolières & gazières fermées dans les pays du Golf (statut : shut-in / offline)
I. Émirat du Qatar
Le Qatar, dépendant à 100% du détroit…
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The Five Pillars Driving a Costly US-Iran War of Attrition Through 2027
Predictions for the 2026 midterm elections
Geopolitics, Monetary Risks Fuel UBS $6,200 Gold Price Target by End of 2026
Debt, Deficits, and Dollar Debasement Fueling Gold’s Bull Market
Capital Flight from the Emirates to Stablecoins – The « Digital Safe Haven » Phenomenon in the Context of Geopolitical Crisis
