As of July 2, 2026, the |…| strategy started in May remains valid, with all four assets declining. Current returns for a |…|x short range from -185% to -297%:
– STXUSDT: -23.3% to -29.7% decline, ROI -233% to -297%; – LINKUSDT: -6.5% to -18.5% decline, ROI -65% to -185%; – AVAXUSDT: -25.8% to -26.5% decline, ROI -258% to -265%; – XRPUSDT: -19.1% to -21.4% decline, ROI -191% to -214%. AVAX and STX show the best performance, while LINK is the weakest.
https://www.steelldy-indices.com
The bearish thesis persists: the crypto market cap is contracting at $2.08-2.15T, Bitcoin is around $60,200, and the Fear & Greed Index is at 11-18 (Extreme Fear). However, market dynamics are shifting. Bearish regime probability dropped from 75% to 66%, and rebound risk increased to 34%. Key changes: LINK’s funding rate turned positive (bullish signal), whale accumulation in LINK is rising, while volumes in AVAX and XRP’s open interest declined. Risk assessment shows LINK has the highest short squeeze risk (35-55% potential loss), AVAX moderate (20-30%), STX moderate (25-40%), and XRP reduced. Take-profit levels are set at STX $0.14-0.15, AVAX $5.40-5.60, LINK $6.50-7.00, and XRP $0.95-1.00.
The bearish thesis remains structurally valid, but the decline in ROI is significant: STXUSDT: The price continued to fall, fluctuating between $0.1611 and $0.1722 over the last 24 hours. The downtrend has strengthened, confirming the initial thesis. The projected ROI at |…|x now ranges between -233% and -297% — the |…| trade remains highly profitable, but the margin for further gains has narrowed. AVAXUSDT: The price holds around $6.69-$6.76, down ~26% since entry. The ROI at |…|x reaches approximately -258% to -265%. The bearish thesis is confirmed, but the pace of decline has slowed: volume contracted by 22%, and the price remains 31% below its 200-day SMA at $9.77. LINKUSDT: The price fluctuates between $7.13 and $9.06. The wide range indicates a phase of increased uncertainty. The ROI at |…|x is now -65% to -185%, depending on the actual entry point. This performance is the least convincing of the four. XRPUSDT: The price oscillates between $1.012 and $1.087, down approximately 19-21% since entry. The ROI at |…|x reaches -191% to -214%. The bearish thesis holds, but the psychological support at $1.00 poses a risk of a technical bounce.
Disclaimer
The information provided is not financial advice. I am not a financial adviser, accountant or the like.
This information is purely from my own due diligence and an expression of my thoughts, my opinions based on my personal experiences, and the way I transact.
THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED FOR GENERAL INFORMATION
PURPOSES ONLY AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED PERSONAL ADVICE.
Your money, your outlay, your risk. This presentation does not provide investing advice in any way shape or form. You will be solely responsible for any decisions you make. If you need to seek any advice, speak to your advisers, accountants or other professionals who you may be relying on for your wealth creation journey. Please do your own due diligence.
