As of July 2, 2026, the |...| strategy started in May remains valid, with all four assets declining. Current returns for a |...|x short range from -185% to -297%:
- STXUSDT: -23.3% to -29.7% decline, ROI -233% to -297%; - LINKUSDT: -6.5% to -18.5% decline, ROI -65% to -185%; - AVAXUSDT: -25.8% to…
The Japanese yen-based carry trade, historically profitable (35-40% ROI with 10x leverage), is mathematically broken by the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) rate normalization.
The current rate differential (4.25% US vs 1.00% JPY) drops to 3.25% before costs and yen appreciation. If the BOJ raises rates by more than an additional 50 basis points or…
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