Skip to content Skip to sidebar Skip to footer

Tag: WEF

HomeAll PostsTag: WEF
Toy soldiers and Iran flag on a world map symbolizing geopolitical tensions.
Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché MarketsMarkets

How the War with Iran Is Shaking Central Bank Confidence in Gold Reserves

https://www.steelldy-indices.com The Iran-United States war, triggered in Q1 2026, introduced a second-order exogenous shock to the gold market, destabilizing the strongest pillar of the decade-long bull run: central bank demand. The announcement of the suspension of gold sales by the Azerbaijani sovereign wealth fund (SOFAZ), forced sales by Turkey and Russia, and the contraction of…
2 days ago0Comments

Read more

Close-up of a finance article on cryptocurrency with charts in the background.
Cryptos

Uniswap’s UNI Poised for Growth as Institutional Interest Surges with RWA Integration

Uniswap (UNI) has re-emerged with renewed institutional narrative momentum following Standard Chartered’s 15 June 2026 initiation of coverage, targeting $100 by end-2030 (~35–40x from ~$2.50–2.70 base; staged path: $6.50 EOY2026, $20 2027, $40 2028, $65 2029). The thesis hinges on tokenized Real-World Assets (RWAs) driving DeFi TVL to ~$2.7T (37x expansion) and Uniswap capturing dominant…
06/17/20260Comments

Read more

Aerial landscape shot of a coastal oil refinery with storage silos under cloudy skies.
Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché

BIS/WEF Context on Transition Risks Compressing Long-Term Refining Margins: Carbon Tracker-Style Analysis and Quantitative Projections for TotalEnergies

Executive Summary Transition risks under 2°C pathways (IEA NZE/APS equivalents) drive structural demand destruction for refined products, compressing refining margins via volume contraction, utilization drops, and policy/carbon cost overlays. Carbon Tracker’s foundational 2017 “Margin Call” analysis projected >50% EBITDA decline by 2035 for ~94% of global capacity under a 2D scenario (oil demand -23%…
06/12/20260Comments

Read more

SpaceX Dragon spacecraft in orbit, highlighting advanced space technology with cloud backdrop.
Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché

Liquidity Trap Scenario : Gold < $4,150, Oil ~$88 Stabilization – Integration with SpaceX IPO Retail Influx and Systemic Market Crash Risks

Executive Summary The posited Liquidity Trap manifests as a regime where elevated nominal asset prices (gold near recent highs, equities at stretched valuations) coincide with forced liquidations driven by margin calls, collateral constraints, and retail FOMO entry, without corresponding real-economy liquidity expansion. Under conditions of gold stabilizing below $4,150/oz and WTI/Brent oil around $88/bbl (current…
06/11/20260Comments

Read more

A dimly lit TotalEnergies gas station at night in Nairobi, Kenya, featuring prominent signage.
Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché

Refiner Margin Squeeze and the 3:2:1 Crack Spread Signal: Technical Analysis with Focus on TotalEnergies (as of mid-June 2026)

Executive Summary The 3:2:1 crack spread serves as a primary proxy for gross refining margins, calculated as: 3:2:1 Crack Spread=2×PGasoline (bbl)+1×PDistillate/Heating Oil (bbl)−3×PCrude (bbl)3\text{3:2:1 Crack Spread} = \frac{2 \times P_{\text{Gasoline (bbl)}} + 1 \times P_{\text{Distillate/Heating Oil (bbl)}} - 3 \times P_{\text{Crude (bbl)}}}{3} where prices are typically futures-settled (e.g., WTI/RBOB/NYH HO for USGC benchmarks; Brent equivalents or regional baskets for Europe).…
06/11/20260Comments

Read more