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Tag: FED

STEELLDYThrough Steelldy consulting company, I assist companies, fintechs, and institutions in two key areas: ◙ Economic and financial statistical modeling via our DaaS & SaaS software (macroeconomic index platform). Analysis of the transition to a multipolar world: stablecoins, gold, copper, precious metals, industrial metals, oil, dollars, euros, yuan, yen, rubles, CBDC, BISIH, mBridge, Unified Ledger, BRICS, and global regulations. ◙ Web3 Law & Taxation Legal and Tax structuring of blockchain-based projects, RWA, tokenization, cryptocurrency (stablecoins, CBDC), decentralized autonomous organizations (DAO), MiCA compliance, ISO 20022, AI, MANBRIC/biotech technologies, robotics, smart cities, and ESG taxonomy.

Elegant showcase of vintage porcelain tableware in a Munich gallery.

Analyse de marché

Markets

Chinese Restrictions on Paper Gold Trading

https://www.steelldy-indices.com The decision of several major Chinese banks (ICBC, Ping An, China Guangfa) to suspend precious metals trading services linked to the Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGE) for individuals, by drastically raising margin requirements to 140%, is not a simple prudential adjustment. Analyzed through M. Theory 4.2 and the Steelldy 3.8 graph engine, this measure…

07/27/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Illuminated Türkiye İş Bankası building in Ankara, Türkiye at night with vehicle motion blur.

Markets

Gold Holds Near $4,100 as Geopolitical Pause Eases Sovereign Selling Pressure

https://www.steelldy-indices.com Current gold price is around $4,100-4,103/oz, with a neutral-to-bullish short-term stance but an intact seller regime risk. The divergence alert between the model and Polymarket is not triggered. Semantic NLP shows a "gold distrust" score of 0.48 (down from 0.62), with dominant themes being the Fed decision, US-Iran pause, oil easing, and PBOC purchases.…

How the War with Iran Is Shaking Central Bank Confidence in Gold Reserves

https://www.steelldy-indices.com The Iran-United States war, triggered in Q1 2026, introduced a second-order exogenous shock to the gold market, destabilizing the strongest pillar of the decade-long bull run: central bank demand. The announcement of the suspension of gold sales by the Azerbaijani sovereign wealth fund (SOFAZ), forced sales by Turkey and Russia, and the contraction of…

Gold Dip Is Just “Noise,” Says VanEck Manager

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Imaru Casanova, precious metals portfolio manager at VanEck, describes the recent correction in gold as "noise." This stance, far from being naive optimism, is based on rigorous quantitative analysis that we have reconstructed and validated using our internal engines (Steelldy 12.4, Steelldy Behavioral Matrix 2.1, Mosaic Theory 4.2). The conclusions are…

Silver Tumbles 3.8% as Dual Demand Crumbles Under Hawkish Fed Pressure

https://www.steelldy-indices.com Silver experienced a notable decline on July 13, 2026, dropping by 3.8%, surpassing gold’s decrease of 2.9% on the same day. This divergence pushed the gold-to-silver ratio to an elevated level of 69.4. Far from being an isolated event, this relative underperformance highlights silver’s unique dual character | as both a monetary asset and…

Why Analysts Say It’s Not Too Late to Bet on Gold for Long-Term Gains

https://www.steelldy-indices.com Despite acknowledging potential short-term headwinds, analysts remain broadly optimistic about gold's future price trajectory, with many expecting continued growth over the next several years. The path to $6,000 per ounce remains open, even after a correction in 2026. Central banks continue to diversify their reserves aggressively, a major driver of demand. After the escalation…

Is Gold’s Bull Market Alive? China’s Soaring Imports Say Yes, Charts Say No

According to Brian Lundin, while the West sets gold prices, China is buying it up. While news headlines continue to confirm my skepticism about any peace agreement between the US and Iran, bulls in the metals markets feel like they are being punished for something. https://www.steelldy-indices.com While other "risk assets" are rising, gold and…

Five Key Reasons Gold Could Surge Above $5,000 by 2027

Gold prices are currently near fair value, setting the stage for further growth, according to WisdomTree's commodity and macroeconomic research head, Nitesh Shah. He believes the sharp correction in gold prices earlier this year did not mark the end of the long-term bull market but rather a return to fair value. Shah sees an opportunity…

Why OCBC Cut Its Gold Price Outlook by 15% While Other Banks Stay Bullish

On the last day of June, gold traded at $4,023 per ounce. Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation (OCBC), a major Southeast Asian bank, lowered its year-end gold forecast from $5,100 to $4,360, citing rising real yields, a stronger U.S. dollar, and a more hawkish Federal Reserve policy. https://www.steelldy-indices.com The bank also reduced its silver forecast by about…

07/02/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Close-up of gold bars on a dark background, representing wealth and investment opportunities.

Analyse de marché

Goldman Sachs Slashes Gold Forecast to $4,900, Blaming Delayed Fed Rate Cuts

On June 19, Goldman Sachs analysts Lina Thomas and Daan Struyven lowered their year-end gold price forecast from $5,400 to $4,900. Specifically, Goldman Sachs no longer believes the Fed will cut rates in 2026, so the bank shifted its first expected rate cut to June 2027. JPMorgan has not changed its position. Its year-end…

06/23/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac