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ECB’s TPI Backstop Anchors Eurozone Spreads, OAT-Bund Capped at 85-90 bp in 2026

The European Central Bank (@ecb ) exerts a dominant and stabilizing influence on eurozone sovereign spreads in 2026 through three main channels: the Transmission Protection Instrument (TPI) anti-fragmentation backstop (activated since 2022), the interest rate policy (25 bp hike on June 11, 2026: deposit rate at 2.25%, MRO at 2.40%), ongoing quantitative tightening (QT) and…

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French Debt Crosses the Rubicon: 30-Year OAT Yield Hits Phase Transition at 4.6926%

https://www.steelldy-indices.com The morning fixing of the 30-year French OAT yield at 4.6926% marks a "phase transition" market event. Cross-referenced with our proprietary risk engines, this level signals a critical threshold for French debt sustainability, with non-negligible probability of a self-fulfilling confidence crisis. Key findings: the 5-year implied probability of a French fiscal accident jumped from…

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Bank of America Warns: Stock Market Speculation Hits Highest Level Since 1999, Gold Poised for Historic Rally

According to @BankofAmerica , speculation in the U.S. stock market has reached its highest level since 1999-2000, a period that preceded the start of the longest bull market for gold in modern history. Overvalued stocks and lagging gold are a pattern, not a mystery. On July 6, 2026, gold was around $4,160, down 3% year-to-date,…

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Why Analysts Say It’s Not Too Late to Bet on Gold for Long-Term Gains

https://www.steelldy-indices.com Despite acknowledging potential short-term headwinds, analysts remain broadly optimistic about gold's future price trajectory, with many expecting continued growth over the next several years. The path to $6,000 per ounce remains open, even after a correction in 2026. Central banks continue to diversify their reserves aggressively, a major driver of demand. After the escalation…

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From $5,600 to $4,100: Why Gold’s 2026 Decline Mirrors Past Bull Market Corrections

After reaching an all-time high in January 2026, gold prices continued to decline during the first half of the year, raising investor concerns about further drops and whether it is an opportune time to buy. While short-term forecasts are uncertain, analysts are more confident in predicting gold's long-term trajectory, citing strong fundamentals despite temporary macroeconomic…

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