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Markets

STEELLDYThrough Steelldy consulting company, I assist companies, fintechs, and institutions in two key areas: ◙ Economic and financial statistical modeling via our DaaS & SaaS software (macroeconomic index platform). Analysis of the transition to a multipolar world: stablecoins, gold, copper, precious metals, industrial metals, oil, dollars, euros, yuan, yen, rubles, CBDC, BISIH, mBridge, Unified Ledger, BRICS, and global regulations. ◙ Web3 Law & Taxation Legal and Tax structuring of blockchain-based projects, RWA, tokenization, cryptocurrency (stablecoins, CBDC), decentralized autonomous organizations (DAO), MiCA compliance, ISO 20022, AI, MANBRIC/biotech technologies, robotics, smart cities, and ESG taxonomy.

Markets

Markets, Markets Data, Private Markets, Equities, Bonds, Stocks, Currencies, Commodities, Crypto, Monetary Policy Radar, Wealth Management, Moral Money, Money, ETF, ETF Hub, Asset Management, Private Equity.

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Markets

Key Support Zone Marks the End of Silver’s Correction Phase

Correction of silver prices is nearing completion, analysis by Clive Maund. Clive Maund has shared a fresh perspective on the silver chart. As a result of the recent decline, it has approached the target buying zone, the analyst believes. https://www.steelldy-indices.com The correction in silver prices is close to ending. It is important to note…

07/03/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

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Markets

Weak June Jobs Data Sparks Gold Rally as Fed Rate Hike Odds Fade

The U.S. labor market – a facade of stability https://www.steelldy-indices.com To grasp the scale of the problem, between February 2025 (Trump taking office) and June 2026, the average monthly job creation in the U.S. was only 42,000 (4.5 times below normal), with the private sector adding 53,000 jobs and the public sector shedding an average…

Five Key Reasons Gold Could Surge Above $5,000 by 2027

Gold prices are currently near fair value, setting the stage for further growth, according to WisdomTree's commodity and macroeconomic research head, Nitesh Shah. He believes the sharp correction in gold prices earlier this year did not mark the end of the long-term bull market but rather a return to fair value. Shah sees an opportunity…

As US Debt Reaches $31.3 Trillion, Global Investors Hedge with Gold and Dollar Alternatives

The ratio of U.S. government debt to GDP has reached 100%, a milestone not seen since World War II. According to a new Government Accountability Office (GAO) report, the federal debt held by the public has equaled the nation's total economic output. Analysts warn that without immediate policy changes, debt will continue to outpace the…

Why OCBC Cut Its Gold Price Outlook by 15% While Other Banks Stay Bullish

On the last day of June, gold traded at $4,023 per ounce. Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation (OCBC), a major Southeast Asian bank, lowered its year-end gold forecast from $5,100 to $4,360, citing rising real yields, a stronger U.S. dollar, and a more hawkish Federal Reserve policy. https://www.steelldy-indices.com The bank also reduced its silver forecast by about…

The Effective Tax Rate (ETR) anomaly at Nike

The quantitative analysis reveals that Nike's Effective Tax Rate (ETR) dropped from 33.6% in Q4 FY2025 to 19.6% in Q4 FY2026, a statistically extreme anomaly of -14 percentage points. This exceeds the sector standard deviation of ~3%, yielding a Z-score of -4.67σ, indicating over 99.99% certainty that this is not a normal fluctuation. https://www.steelldy-indices.com Compared…

Nike’s Q4 Profit Surge Is an Illusion

On June 30, 2026, @Nike (NKE) reported Q4 FY2026 results that appeared to show a spectacular rebound: Net Income of $1.1 billion, up 407% and far above the consensus of $0.13. However, this performance was not due to operational improvement but to an accounting artifact: a $986 million customs duty refund expected from a U.S.…

Intangible Asset Shifting (IAS) Module

The Real Asset Shifting (RAS) module (www.steelldy-indices.com) focuses on tangible assets, notably cross-border real estate. However, intangible assets (patents, trademarks, software, know-how, databases, client lists) are historically the main channel for profit shifting in multinational groups. Unlike tangible assets, intangibles do not significantly benefit from the Substance-based Income Exclusion (SBIE), are highly sensitive to transfer…

How High-Value Properties Slash Pillar Two Top-Up Tax Under SBIE Rules

The Substance-based Income Exclusion (SBIE) is a carve-out mechanism under Pillar Two (GloBE) that excludes part of a jurisdiction's GloBE Income before calculating top-up tax, recognizing real economic substance. Its formula for 2022 rules with 2024-2026 guidance is 5% of eligible payroll plus 5% of tangible assets' carrying value. Payroll includes eligible employee expenses,…

Gold Demand from Central Banks Could Double in Late 2025, But Hurdles Remain, Says SocGen

Société Générale projects a more moderate pace of gold purchases by central banks in the future. While central bank demand has been a key driver of gold's multi-year rise to an all-time high of $5,600, and a recent World Gold Council survey indicates continued official sector buying, one bank adopts a cautious stance, warning that…

06/30/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac