Skip to content Skip to sidebar Skip to footer

Tag: trading

STEELLDYThrough Steelldy consulting company, I assist companies, fintechs, and institutions in two key areas: ◙ Economic and financial statistical modeling via our DaaS & SaaS software (macroeconomic index platform). Analysis of the transition to a multipolar world: stablecoins, gold, copper, precious metals, industrial metals, oil, dollars, euros, yuan, yen, rubles, CBDC, BISIH, mBridge, Unified Ledger, BRICS, and global regulations. ◙ Web3 Law & Taxation Legal and Tax structuring of blockchain-based projects, RWA, tokenization, cryptocurrency (stablecoins, CBDC), decentralized autonomous organizations (DAO), MiCA compliance, ISO 20022, AI, MANBRIC/biotech technologies, robotics, smart cities, and ESG taxonomy.

Stunning aerial view of vibrant green forest merging with patterned agricultural fields.

Carbon Credit Market

ESG Data Services

ESG taxonomy & sustainable finance: less obligation, more market

Thesis. The European Omnibus did not kill ESG: it transformed it from a mass legal obligation into a competitive market advantage. Demand for reliable ESG data is shifting from the regulator to the investor, the bank, and the buyer and ESG ratings themselves are now under supervision. The new regime (Directive (EU) 2026/470, in…

09/02/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Cryptos

Bitcoin ETFs Absorb $900M Inflows as Yields Jump, Testing the August Risk-On Regime

The macro regime as of September 2, 2026, shows a strong U.S. dollar (DXY at ~99.73-99.80) and rising 10-year U.S. Treasury yields (4.78-4.81%), pressuring risk assets. An oil supply shock (Brent ~$95.3, WTI ($4,290-4,325/oz) is declining due to real yields and dollar strength. A Hidden Markov Model (HMM) identifies the current regime as "Transition"…

09/02/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Detailed close-up shot of US dollar bills showing various denominations.

Analyse de marché

Macro environment: duration, dollar, oil, politics

The dominant factor in September is not an endogenous crypto narrative but a regime of real rates and geopolitical energy premiums. US 10-year yields hit ~4.76-4.78%, the highest since January 2025, while the #DXY traded around 99.45-99.50. Oil prices (WTI ~$86.5) reacted to US-Iran tensions and the Strait of Hormuz. The Fed funds target is…

09/01/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Cryptos

Crypto Markets Show Recovery Signs But Face Three Key Frictions Ahead

The market has exited the capitulation phase of June 2026, where BTC fell below $60k, driven by ETF creations and short squeezes pushing prices to ~$81.3k, though this does not confirm a sustained bullish cycle. Three simultaneous frictions are identified: a BTC supply wall between $81k-$86k, a potential 25bp hike at the September FOMC meeting…

08/31/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Cryptos

From Bonds to Bitcoin: “Debasement Trade” Powers Crypto Surge Amid $40T U.S. Debt

Bitcoin rallied 6% in the week of August 19, triggered by a yields at their highest since 2007, seen as a fiscal easing signal. CoinShares' James Butterfill noted the rally was driven by macroeconomic factors, not crypto-specific dynamics. T. Rowe Price identified the "debasement trade" as the key driver, where investors shift from cash and…

08/27/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

A vibrant abstract image featuring dynamic colors and intricate patterns, perfect for modern art enthusiasts.

lntélligence artificielle

How Circular Financing in AI Creates Hidden Risks Beneath a Boom

Circular financing in the AI sector refers to a tightly interlinked system of equity investments, compute commitments, guarantees, and off-balance-sheet structures among chipmakers, hyperscalers, AI labs, and data-center operators. Money and obligations circulate among a small group of counterparties, accelerating infrastructure buildout while amplifying downside risks if end-user monetization falls short. How It Works.…

08/21/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Cryptos Tech

Crypto Short Squeeze

Bitcoin surged to $76,800-$77,600, gaining 6-8% in 24 hours and 20% for the week. The market saw over $4 billion in 24-hour liquidations, marking the most violent short squeeze of 2026. Combined BTC/ETH ETF inflows exceeded $800 million, indicating massive institutional entries. The funding rate shifted from negative to positive, signaling a return of long…

08/21/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Colorful display of Zcash, Litecoin, and Bitcoin coins on gradient background.

Cryptos

Stablecoins: $315 billion in circulation, zero dynamic reserve ratings. Why this must change

Price is the last indicator to move The stablecoin market has reached a new milestone: over $315 billion in total market capitalization, serving as the backbone of on-chain settlements, with adoption now extending far beyond the crypto ecosystem alone cross-border payments, corporate treasuries, and collateral for tokenized finance. Yet a massive, under-discussed anomaly persists:…

08/20/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Beautiful view of the Jakarta skyline featuring modern skyscrapers and urban landscape.

Reports

Global Real Estate as an Ocean of Liquidity & the Institutional Shift SFR / BTR

Global real estate remains the dominant asset class, valued at approximately $393-448 trillion (Savills, 2026 estimates), about 3.3 times the global equity market capitalization and 2.8 times that of bonds. In this context, institutional capital is structurally shifting toward rental income streams (SFR/BTR). The institutional share of the US Single-Family Rental market remains low (2.0-3.1%…

08/19/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Markets

SpaceX (SPCX). Probable Correction vs. Long-Term Trajectory

SpaceX (SPCX) faces a probable short-term correction of ≥30% (62-78% probability) from current levels (~$141-146), driven by negative convexity, retail unwind, and liquidity spirals, while long-term (3-10 years) appreciation remains significant. The company is transitioning from a launch and constellation firm to a multi-planetary spatial infrastructure, data, and AI platform with increasing returns and…

08/18/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac