The convergence of global retirement savings and the financing of artificial intelligence infrastructure constitutes a systemic risk arising from long-term capital commitments financing technology assets with shorter economic lifespans, through opaque off-balance-sheet vehicles, private credit, and securitizations.
As of October 26, 2026, BlackRock manages $15.488 trillion in assets, compared with $11.6 trillion a year earlier,…
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Thesis. The 2024/2026 AI cycle is the largest fixed capital investment cycle in modern economic history. The market question is no longer Will AI transform the economy? but “Who bears the capex risk, and at what rate of return?” Humanoid robotics and converging technologies (MANBRIC: Metaverse AI Nano Bio Robotics Info Cognition the extended NBIC…
I. Нормативная и позитивная рамки: UBI и UBC, различие по природе, а не по степени.
Итог: В мире, преобразованном ИИ, UBC представляется структурно более эффективной моделью, чем UBI, для устойчивого увеличения медианного благосостояния и сокращения неравенства, поскольку вознаграждение основывается на владении производительными активами, а не на налоговых трансфертах.
Ключевые положения (1) UBI (Universal Basic Income,…
Technological revolutions are not equal as investment themes; they are equal as cost curves. Three curves are collapsing simultaneously in 2026-2030, the cost of AI inference, the cost of physical action (humanoid robotics and logistics), and the cost of biological reading/writing (sequencing, synthesis), and their intersection is creating the markets of the decade: instrumented smart…
The restructuring of the global economy to finance the AI capital shortfall rests on recycling Asian savings, mobilizing new investors, and transforming cash flows into investable assets.
First, the AI boom generates liquidity in South Korea and Taiwan, part of which flows into dollar-denominated assets and indirectly supports investment by US hyperscalers. Taiwan’s current…
AI capex has become an infrastructure cycle of utility-like scale , comparable to railroads or the electrical grid , with a readable value chain: semiconductors (the cluster of megacaps that the market now groups under acronyms like "MANBRIC": Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Broadcom, and others), data centers, energy, and now physical robotics. Biotech remains the pocket…
Positionnement théorique Une smart city est modélisée comme un système cyber-physique urbain, reposant sur la théorie des systèmes complexes adaptatifs. La théorie mosaïque postule que la valeur informationnelle totale du système excède celle de ses composants isolés, avec des effets de synergie représentant 30 à 45 % de la valeur totale. Cette synergie justifie une…
Facts. Humanoid robotics: $8.7B in VC from January to July 2026; market estimated at ~$4.2B in 2026 → ~$40.5B in 2033 (CAGR 38.2%); Goldman Sachs: $38B in 2035 (bull case $152B)[30]; Morgan Stanley: 930 million units in 2050 (China 302.3M, US 77.7M), unit price dropping from $200k (2024) to ~$50k (2050).
Industrialization signals: Unitree…
Beyond the Controversy: How Schmidt’s 2024 Forecasts on AI Agents and NVIDIA Are Playing Out in 2026
Eric Schmidt’s August 2024 appearance at Stanford was an informal classroom conversation with economist Erik Brynjolfsson in the course “The Age of AI” (ECON295/CS323). Stanford posted the video, it circulated quickly, then was set to private after Schmidt asked for its removal. The episode became famous less for its technical content than for two unfiltered…