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Tag: Russia

Debt, Deficits, and Dollar Debasement Fueling Gold’s Bull Market

In a podcast discussion, Mike Maharrey of Money Metals interviewed Brian Lundin, President and CEO of Jefferson Financial, regarding factors influencing the gold and silver markets. Lundin argued that long-term monetary trends, rather than short-term geopolitical events, fundamentally drive metal prices. While global conflicts like tensions involving Iran caused brief spikes in gold prices…

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The US Treasury announcement on 03/13/2026 temporarily lifts restrictions on Russian oil

The US Treasury issued a temporary waiver on restrictions for certain stranded Russian oil shipments, announced around March 12-13, 2026, to address global supply disruptions amid escalating tensions with Iran. This 30-day exemption allows countries to purchase and transport Russian crude and petroleum products that were loaded onto ships as of March 12, 2026, with…

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Return of Russian oil. Systemic inversion of hydrocarbon flows (Russia–EU). Collapse of the risk premium and gravitation of liquidity clusters.

Europe has hit a mathematical wall: the blockage of the Strait of Hormuz has removed 5 to 7 million barrels per day (b/d) from the market. Replacement by American Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) cannot cover this deficit due to the physical limits of regasification capacities. Under these conditions, the return of Russian oil and gas…

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Systemic Revaluation of Tangible Assets: Why Gold and Gold Miners Dominate the Market (« The Great Rotation into Reality »)

The current outperformance of gold (XAU) and mining stocks over the rest of the market (especially technology) is not a temporary anomaly. It results from the "double commoditization" of AI and software, which is destroying the monetization model of intellectual capital. As intelligence becomes a cheap and widely available commodity, the physical resources needed to…

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The China Dimension : The Great treasury Unwind (2013-2026)

Historical Context: The Great Treasury Unwind China's US Treasury holdings have undergone 'systematic liquidation' over 12+ years: PeriodHoldings ($B)Δ vs PeakDriversMarket ImpactNov 2013 (Peak)$1,320—Accumulation phase: China recycles trade surplus into TreasuriesNone (buying)2014-2016$1,250-5.3%First diversification: Silk Road infrastructure, A-shares supportMinimal2017-2019$1,120-15.2%Trade War I: Trump tariffs, retaliation via Treasury sales10Y yield +50bp2020-2022$980-25.8%COVID, SWIFT weaponization fears (Russia precedent)Offset by…

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The Trigger Event : Kremlin Memo Anatomy

A high-level Kremlin memo, dubbed the 'Dmitriev Package' after RDIF CEO Kirill Dmitriev, was leaked to Ukrainian and Western intelligence before being reported by Bloomberg. Authenticity is scored highly due to multiple confirmations and the Kremlin's non-denial. The confidential document outlines seven key points for a potential geopolitical realignment between Russia and a hypothetical future…

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Santander’ Openbank Launches Crypto Trading for Retail Clients

Openbank de Banco Santander lance le trading de crypto-monnaies pour les clients particuliers en Allemagne, avec l’intention de s’étendre à l’Espagne, marquant un changement significatif alors que les banques traditionnelles adoptent les crypto-monnaies, soutenues par le règlement MiCA de l’UE qui a commencé à être appliqué intégralement en décembre 2024 pour uniformiser les marchés crypto.…

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Mise en œuvre du rouble numérique par la Banque centrale de Russie

Programme d'implémentation du rouble numérique par la banque centrale de Russie La Banque de Russie a proposé de nouvelles dates pour le déploiement massif du rouble numérique. L'implémentation des transferts et paiements en roubles numériques se fera de manière graduelle. À partir du 1er septembre 2026, les grandes banques seront tenues de fournir…

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La création de réserves nationales en cryptomonnaies est devenue une tendance géopolitique majeure en 2025

États-Unis : la réserve stratégique Bitcoin officielle Le 6 mars 2025, les États-Unis ont établi la Réserve Stratégique Bitcoin via l'ordre exécutif du président Donald Trump, centralisant tous les bitcoins détenus par le gouvernement obtenus par confiscation civile et criminelle. Plutôt que de les vendre aux enchères (comme c'était la pratique standard), le gouvernement les…

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