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Tag: Debt

STEELLDYThrough Steelldy consulting company, I assist companies, fintechs, and institutions in two key areas: ◙ Economic and financial statistical modeling via our DaaS & SaaS software (macroeconomic index platform). Analysis of the transition to a multipolar world: stablecoins, gold, copper, precious metals, industrial metals, oil, dollars, euros, yuan, yen, rubles, CBDC, BISIH, mBridge, Unified Ledger, BRICS, and global regulations. ◙ Web3 Law & Taxation Legal and Tax structuring of blockchain-based projects, RWA, tokenization, cryptocurrency (stablecoins, CBDC), decentralized autonomous organizations (DAO), MiCA compliance, ISO 20022, AI, MANBRIC/biotech technologies, robotics, smart cities, and ESG taxonomy.

Digital art showcasing a 3D abstraction of golden floating cubes with a soft blurred background.

Analyse de marché

Markets

Gold Projected to Reach $5,000

https://www.steelldy-indices.com Aakash Doshi (State Street) predicts that gold's next $1,000 move will be upward, with consolidation around $4,000 before expanding to $4,750–$5,500. This forecast aligns perfectly with our proprietary quantitative models. By integrating market data, institutional flows, and geopolitical signals through M. Theory 4.2 and leveraging Steelldy Risk Engine 12.4 and Quantum-Classical Hybrid 1.0 on…

07/30/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

A close-up image of various world coins in a pile, highlighting different currencies.

War, Hidden Inflation, and the Role of Gold and Silver as Monetary Anchors

https://www.steelldy-indices.com/https://www.steelldy-indices.com The persistence of armed conflicts (Ukraine, Iran, tensions in Asia) and disruptions in energy supply, analyzed in our previous articles (ST-0726-IRAN-GOLD, ST-0727-CHINA-GOLD), validate a fundamental premise of quantitative finance: wars are the primary driver of debt monetization and hidden inflation that erodes savers' wealth. Faced with a deficit in traditional financing (tax collection, bond…

French Debt Crosses the Rubicon: 30-Year OAT Yield Hits Phase Transition at 4.6926%

https://www.steelldy-indices.com The morning fixing of the 30-year French OAT yield at 4.6926% marks a "phase transition" market event. Cross-referenced with our proprietary risk engines, this level signals a critical threshold for French debt sustainability, with non-negligible probability of a self-fulfilling confidence crisis. Key findings: the 5-year implied probability of a French fiscal accident jumped from…

Five Key Reasons Gold Could Surge Above $5,000 by 2027

Gold prices are currently near fair value, setting the stage for further growth, according to WisdomTree's commodity and macroeconomic research head, Nitesh Shah. He believes the sharp correction in gold prices earlier this year did not mark the end of the long-term bull market but rather a return to fair value. Shah sees an opportunity…

As US Debt Reaches $31.3 Trillion, Global Investors Hedge with Gold and Dollar Alternatives

The ratio of U.S. government debt to GDP has reached 100%, a milestone not seen since World War II. According to a new Government Accountability Office (GAO) report, the federal debt held by the public has equaled the nation's total economic output. Analysts warn that without immediate policy changes, debt will continue to outpace the…

07/03/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Cryptos

GENIUS Act Creates Massive Demand for T-bills, Reshaping Short-Term Yields

The GENIUS Act mandates stablecoin issuers to hold 100% reserves in cash or T-bills with maturity ≤ 93 days. This creates a mechanical demand for T-bills, making them the collateral commodity for the new system. By mid-2025, Tether and Circle held $160 billion in T-bills, exceeding most sovereign nations' holdings, which mechanically compresses short-term…

05/21/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Analyse de marché

Debt, Deficits, and Dollar Debasement Fueling Gold’s Bull Market

In a podcast discussion, Mike Maharrey of Money Metals interviewed Brian Lundin, President and CEO of Jefferson Financial, regarding factors influencing the gold and silver markets. Lundin argued that long-term monetary trends, rather than short-term geopolitical events, fundamentally drive metal prices. While global conflicts like tensions involving Iran caused brief spikes in gold prices…

Crise de confiance des banques centrales : l’or remplace la dette souveraine occidentale

Le dollar chute libreusement tandis que l'or et l'argent atteignent des records, signalant une perte de confiance mondiale dans les monnaies fiduciaires et les banques centrales. Ce n'est pas une "dédollarisation" au sens strict, mais une perte de confiance généralisée dans la dette souveraine des pays développés comme actif de réserve. Cette perte de confiance…

02/07/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Markets

Assessment of the Systemic Fragility of European G-SIBs (BNP Paribas, Deutsche Bank, Santander) in the Face of Shocks

The post-crisis analysis of January 30, 2026, via the Minsky Moment Detector, reveals that the European banking system has reached a critical tipping point. This event is caused by the convergence of the collapse of the Silver, the unwinding of the Yen Carry Trade, and the fall in Tech stocks, generating a shock of an…

02/03/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Analyse de marché Cryptos

Markets

2024-2025 The Biggest Buyers of U.S. Debt (Tresuries) : la France 70Md$

❶ II est essentiel de faire une distinction claire entre le budget public et les réserves de change et comprendre que les <70 Md$> évoqués ne proviennent pas directement du Trésor français mais d’entités de l’Eurosystème ou de fonds souverains, représentant environ 30 % des réserves totales (~220 Md€). ❷ L’achat de Treasury s’appuie sur trois piliers : (1)…

10/03/20250Comments

ByOleg Turceac