The base case, from the IEA. Global data centres consumed about 415 TWh in 2024, 1.5% of world electricity, roughly Germany plus Austria. By 2030, that doubles to ~945 TWh, just under 3% of global consumption, growing ~15% per year, four times faster than all other sectors combined.
Inside that number, the split is…
The numbers, first. Tokenized real-world assets crossed $30 billion in early 2026, a 300% year-on-year increase : US Treasury debt ($10.7bn), commodities ($5.1bn), private credit ($2.9bn), institutional alternative funds ($2.2bn) leading the mix. Measured against what is coming, $30bn is a rounding error. The 2030 forecasts, by institution:
Source2030+ forecastScope noteMcKinsey~$2tnExcludes crypto, stablecoins, deposits,…
According to the methodology of Dixit and Pindyck (1994), gold contains an implicit call option on the collapse of the fiat system. The price dynamics St incorporate a Poisson jump process Nt: dSt/St = μdt + σdWt + (J-1)dNt, where Nt∼Poisson(λ) for the arrival of a systemic fiat crisis, and J is the jump amplitude…
RWA Treasuries (Sharpe 1.0-1.3 | Volatility 2-3%). Asset representing the tokenization of U.S. Treasury bills (e.g., BUIDL, OUSG).
The high Sharpe ratio (1.0-1.3) with negligible volatility (2-3%) makes it the ideal foundation for "Cash-and-Carry" strategies and collateral for HFT strategies. On-Chain Infrastructure and Regulation: The integration of the BIS (tokenization on a unified ledger)…
On July 27-28, 2026, The Information and then Reuters confirmed the start of volume production of domestic Chinese deep ultraviolet (DUV) immersion lithography tools by Shanghai Aishengna Electronic Technology Group (a state-owned entity created in 2023, with a capital of approximately 7 billion CNY, integrating teams from Yuliangsheng/SiCarrier-Huawei and SMEE).
Target: approximately 5 machines…
Pools of Liquidity, Institutional Flows, and Sharpe Ratios has been validated on August 13, 2026, within the M. Theory 4.2 framework, public market data, and thesis calibrations. The section is directionally robust and consistent with the observed market microstructure.
|1| Pools of Liquidity
COMEX Gold (GC) & Silver (SI) Futures: Maximum depth in the…
On August 11, 2026, RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra confirmed that BRICS members are actively exploring links between their instant payment systems (FPS) and Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDC). The goal is to cut costs and settlement times for cross-border retail and trade payments. Discussions remain exploratory; India, as 2026 chair, hosted the summit and pushed…
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SpaceX has a gross margin of 55.3%, but negative operating and net margins (-1.8% and -6.9%). Only Starlink connectivity is profitable (~+$1.66B OI), while Space and AI segments are loss-making. AWS boasts a 39.4% operating margin (+650 bps YoY), generating ~60% of Amazon's consolidated OI from ~21% of revenue. Microsoft Cloud's gross margin is…
Revenue decomposition and growth dynamics for Q2 FY26
Consolidated revenue reached 7,814, representing a 91.94% year-over-year increase from 4,071. The total revenue growth of 3,743 is driven by AI compute capacity rental (approx. +1,880, 50.2% of the increase), Starlink Connectivity (approx. +1,700, 45.4%), and Space Launch & other (residual +163). Key margins for Q2 FY26:…
Executive Summary
Copper ("Dr. Copper") remains a useful leading indicator of global industrial activity due to its ubiquitous use (power grids, construction, automotive, electronics, data centers). Futures are currently trading above $6.50/lb (COMEX), up about 30% year-over-year, and are holding above the 50- and 200-day moving averages. The metal formed a trough before equity markets…
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