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Gold is currently a structurally important asset. Although the gold market may be consolidating around $4,000, one market strategist believes investors should focus less on short-term price fluctuations and more on gold's evolving role in the global financial system. Robert Minter, director of investment strategy at Abrdn, said the recent correction had little impact…
1. Demand Megatrends FTSE Russell identifies two megatrends: AI and the energy transition. We quantify them as follows:
A. AI Infrastructure: The five hyperscalers (Amazon, Microsoft, Google, Meta, Apple) invested $320 billion in H1 2026, in line with an annual projection of $650 billion. Each 100 MW data center requires approximately 30,000 tons of…
According to Brian Lundin, while the West sets gold prices, China is buying it up. While news headlines continue to confirm my skepticism about any peace agreement between the US and Iran, bulls in the metals markets feel like they are being punished for something.
https://www.steelldy-indices.com
While other "risk assets" are rising, gold and…
On the last day of June, gold traded at $4,023 per ounce. Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation (OCBC), a major Southeast Asian bank, lowered its year-end gold forecast from $5,100 to $4,360, citing rising real yields, a stronger U.S. dollar, and a more hawkish Federal Reserve policy.
https://www.steelldy-indices.com
The bank also reduced its silver forecast by about…
On June 30, 2026, @Nike (NKE) reported Q4 FY2026 results that appeared to show a spectacular rebound: Net Income of $1.1 billion, up 407% and far above the consensus of $0.13. However, this performance was not due to operational improvement but to an accounting artifact: a $986 million customs duty refund expected from a U.S.…
Société Générale projects a more moderate pace of gold purchases by central banks in the future. While central bank demand has been a key driver of gold's multi-year rise to an all-time high of $5,600, and a recent World Gold Council survey indicates continued official sector buying, one bank adopts a cautious stance, warning that…
We use exclusively verifiable public data, collected and processed by our Steelldy Risk Engine 3.4 infrastructure and Bloomberg Intelligence modules:
- Treasury International Capital (TIC): Monthly and annual reports, raw and adjusted data for valuation and hedging effects, broken down by country and maturity (source: Treasury.gov).
- Official reserve flows: IMF COFER (Currency…
Bank of America suggests gold could potentially reach $6,000, but not in the near term, due to significant headwinds from the Federal Reserve's tightening monetary policy. The bank was previously optimistic during gold's rally last year, expecting prices to hit $6,000 by spring. However, a recent correction has led its metals research team, led by…
Executive Summary
Satellite signatures combined with AIS vessel tracking and OSINT currently indicate elevated refinery activity in US/Europe amid global disruptions, but severe anomalies in Middle East tanker flows through the Strait of Hormuz. As of mid-June 2026, Hormuz transits are near-historic lows (often <10 vessels/day, down 70-97% from baseline), with widespread "dark" operations…
Executive Summary
The 3:2:1 crack spread serves as a primary proxy for gross refining margins, calculated as:
3:2:1 Crack Spread=2×PGasoline (bbl)+1×PDistillate/Heating Oil (bbl)−3×PCrude (bbl)3\text{3:2:1 Crack Spread} = \frac{2 \times P_{\text{Gasoline (bbl)}} + 1 \times P_{\text{Distillate/Heating Oil (bbl)}} - 3 \times P_{\text{Crude (bbl)}}}{3}
where prices are typically futures-settled (e.g., WTI/RBOB/NYH HO for USGC benchmarks; Brent equivalents or regional baskets for Europe).…
Analyse de marché
Carbon Credit Market