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Tag: China

STEELLDYThrough Steelldy consulting company, I assist companies, fintechs, and institutions in two key areas: ◙ Economic and financial statistical modeling via our DaaS & SaaS software (macroeconomic index platform). Analysis of the transition to a multipolar world: stablecoins, gold, copper, precious metals, industrial metals, oil, dollars, euros, yuan, yen, rubles, CBDC, BISIH, mBridge, Unified Ledger, BRICS, and global regulations. ◙ Web3 Law & Taxation Legal and Tax structuring of blockchain-based projects, RWA, tokenization, cryptocurrency (stablecoins, CBDC), decentralized autonomous organizations (DAO), MiCA compliance, ISO 20022, AI, MANBRIC/biotech technologies, robotics, smart cities, and ESG taxonomy.

Detailed close-up shot of US dollar bills showing various denominations.

Analyse de marché

Macro environment: duration, dollar, oil, politics

The dominant factor in September is not an endogenous crypto narrative but a regime of real rates and geopolitical energy premiums. US 10-year yields hit ~4.76-4.78%, the highest since January 2025, while the #DXY traded around 99.45-99.50. Oil prices (WTI ~$86.5) reacted to US-Iran tensions and the Strait of Hormuz. The Fed funds target is…

2 days ago0Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Cryptos

Crypto Markets Show Recovery Signs But Face Three Key Frictions Ahead

The market has exited the capitulation phase of June 2026, where BTC fell below $60k, driven by ETF creations and short squeezes pushing prices to ~$81.3k, though this does not confirm a sustained bullish cycle. Three simultaneous frictions are identified: a BTC supply wall between $81k-$86k, a potential 25bp hike at the September FOMC meeting…

3 days ago0Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Cryptos Tech

Crypto Short Squeeze

Bitcoin surged to $76,800-$77,600, gaining 6-8% in 24 hours and 20% for the week. The market saw over $4 billion in 24-hour liquidations, marking the most violent short squeeze of 2026. Combined BTC/ETH ETF inflows exceeded $800 million, indicating massive institutional entries. The funding rate shifted from negative to positive, signaling a return of long…

08/21/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Colorful display of Zcash, Litecoin, and Bitcoin coins on gradient background.

Cryptos

Stablecoins: $315 billion in circulation, zero dynamic reserve ratings. Why this must change

Price is the last indicator to move The stablecoin market has reached a new milestone: over $315 billion in total market capitalization, serving as the backbone of on-chain settlements, with adoption now extending far beyond the crypto ecosystem alone cross-border payments, corporate treasuries, and collateral for tokenized finance. Yet a massive, under-discussed anomaly persists:…

08/20/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Monochrome image of Ripple coins stacked vertically, symbolizing digital currency.

Cryptos

$315 billion stablecoins: why “trust me” is no longer a reserve policy

The stablecoin market has crossed a symbolic threshold: a market capitalization of over $315 billion. What was, five years ago, a niche tool for crypto traders has become a cash management infrastructure, for funds, fintechs, corporations, and soon, under the effect of the MiCA regulation, for regulated European institutions. Yet the fundamental question remains unchanged:…

Power Is the New Bottleneck. AI’s 945 TWh Problem Reprices Energy, Compute and Capital (2026–2030)

The base case, from the IEA. Global data centres consumed about 415 TWh in 2024, 1.5% of world electricity, roughly Germany plus Austria. By 2030, that doubles to ~945 TWh, just under 3% of global consumption, growing ~15% per year, four times faster than all other sectors combined. Inside that number, the split is…

08/17/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Digitalisation Tech

The $16 Trillion Question: Who Measures Tokenization?

The numbers, first. Tokenized real-world assets crossed $30 billion in early 2026, a 300% year-on-year increase : US Treasury debt ($10.7bn), commodities ($5.1bn), private credit ($2.9bn), institutional alternative funds ($2.2bn) leading the mix. Measured against what is coming, $30bn is a rounding error. The 2030 forecasts, by institution: Source2030+ forecastScope noteMcKinsey~$2tnExcludes crypto, stablecoins, deposits,…

08/17/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

A striking close-up of a gold bar showing inscriptions, captured with warm lighting.

Analyse de marché

Gold as an Implicit Call Option on Fiat Collapse: A Model-Driven Analysis

According to the methodology of Dixit and Pindyck (1994), gold contains an implicit call option on the collapse of the fiat system. The price dynamics St incorporate a Poisson jump process Nt: dSt/St = μdt + σdWt + (J-1)dNt, where Nt∼Poisson(λ) for the arrival of a systemic fiat crisis, and J is the jump amplitude…

08/16/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

From above ten dollar banknote with inscription and United States treasury building placed on table

Digitalisation Tech

RWA Treasuries: The High-Stability, High-Yield Foundation for Modern Crypto Strategies

RWA Treasuries (Sharpe 1.0-1.3 | Volatility 2-3%). Asset representing the tokenization of U.S. Treasury bills (e.g., BUIDL, OUSG). The high Sharpe ratio (1.0-1.3) with negligible volatility (2-3%) makes it the ideal foundation for "Cash-and-Carry" strategies and collateral for HFT strategies. On-Chain Infrastructure and Regulation: The integration of the BIS (tokenization on a unified ledger)…

08/16/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Produits innovants Tech

China’s Domestic Immersion DUV Lithography Mass Production

On July 27-28, 2026, The Information and then Reuters confirmed the start of volume production of domestic Chinese deep ultraviolet (DUV) immersion lithography tools by Shanghai Aishengna Electronic Technology Group (a state-owned entity created in 2023, with a capital of approximately 7 billion CNY, integrating teams from Yuliangsheng/SiCarrier-Huawei and SMEE). Target: approximately 5 machines…

08/14/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac