On the last day of June, gold traded at $4,023 per ounce. Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation (OCBC), a major Southeast Asian bank, lowered its year-end gold forecast from $5,100 to $4,360, citing rising real yields, a stronger U.S. dollar, and a more hawkish Federal Reserve policy.
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The bank also reduced its silver forecast by about…
Recent news headlines have shifted as frequently as gold prices, leaving investors questioning market direction. A disconnect between record demand forecasts and sluggish price action adds to the confusion. Damian White and Joe Elkjer analyze the noise to clarify gold’s dynamics, examining whether the recent price decline is a warning or a pause in a…
UBS has lowered its 2026 gold price target to $5,500 from $5,900, citing higher Treasury yields and a stronger dollar. Analysts Dominic Schnider and Wayne Gordon at UBS noted that "alternative costs" are becoming more significant as real interest rates remain high, making non-yielding assets like gold less attractive. However, the core reasons for a…
Gold is considered a tactical long-term asset, but Bitcoin is currently undervalued. ReSolve Asset Management's portfolio manager, Richard Latimer, notes that gold's current price consolidation is expected after its early-year surge. Despite strategically remaining bullish on gold for its structural bull market, ReSolve has become tactically neutral in the short term, having taken profits and…
Le Bitcoin a testé ce matin $89 426, son plus bas depuis avril 2025 avant de rebondir à $91 205. Cette action de prix s'inscrit dans un contexte de short squeeze imminent, confirmé par :
¤ Liquidity grab massif dans la zone $89–92K ¤ Accumulation institutionnelle : +3,8 % par les whales sur 60…
1. Executive Summary
Price: $103,500 (±1.3 %) – inside a 3-month, $101k-$110k bull-flag on 3-day closes.
Structure: upward-sloping channel since Dec-2023; base ≈ $88k, top ≈ $120k.
ETF flows: 8-day net outflow (-12k BTC, -$1.3 B) but reserve on exchanges collapsed (-400k BTC, -12 %) → supply shock in progress.
Seasonality: Q4-post-halving years → median…
1. L'analyse technique et macro-économique indique une perspective BULLISH à court terme (2-6 semaines) pour le Bitcoin, actuellement à $103 438, avec un objectif immédiat de Short Squeeze vers $115K-$116K.
2. Macroéconomiquement, la Fed est en mode "Risk-On" forcé via une injection de liquidité, signalée par le SOFR à 3,92% confirmant un pivot. …
(a) CPI > attendu (inflation élevée) -- crash Risk-Off : BTC $105K–$100K, S&P -3% (b) CPI < attendu Squeeze haussier : BTC $120K 1. Le signal clé : afflux de Stablecoins - bullish de positionnement ¤ 3.2 Mds$ : un des plus puissants afflux du dernier mois. ¤ Interprétation : les traders font rentrer du Cash sur les exchanges…
■ C'est la première vague du squeeze (~568M$). ■ La poudre reste sèche : >10 Mds$ shorts encore piégés. ■ Le marché joue désormais le jeu des escaliers → pullback sain (113-114K) avant escalier suivant (120-125K). ■ ETH peut servir de trade relais avec 24-72h de décalage.
Ce $116,5K n’est pas un sommet — c’est…
Analyse de marché