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Silver (XAG) is undergoing a severe correction phase since its peak in January 2026 (~$120/oz) down to current levels of $58 (Western spot) and $64.79 (Shanghai). This 52% retracement reflects a conflict between strong physical fundamentals (green industrial demand, COMEX inventories under pressure) and macroeconomic headwinds (hawkish Fed, strong dollar, Iran ceasefire). Data…
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Gold is currently a structurally important asset. Although the gold market may be consolidating around $4,000, one market strategist believes investors should focus less on short-term price fluctuations and more on gold's evolving role in the global financial system. Robert Minter, director of investment strategy at Abrdn, said the recent correction had little impact…
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This week, Mike Roy reviewed two important ratio charts that help understand gold's position in its long-term bull market and where it may head next.
The first chart is the crucial long-term gold/DXY ratio. DXY itself is a ratio chart measuring the relative strength of the U.S. dollar against a basket of major…
The European Central Bank (@ecb ) exerts a dominant and stabilizing influence on eurozone sovereign spreads in 2026 through three main channels: the Transmission Protection Instrument (TPI) anti-fragmentation backstop (activated since 2022), the interest rate policy (25 bp hike on June 11, 2026: deposit rate at 2.25%, MRO at 2.40%), ongoing quantitative tightening (QT) and…
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The morning fixing of the 30-year French OAT yield at 4.6926% marks a "phase transition" market event. Cross-referenced with our proprietary risk engines, this level signals a critical threshold for French debt sustainability, with non-negligible probability of a self-fulfilling confidence crisis. Key findings: the 5-year implied probability of a French fiscal accident jumped from…
Central bank demand will push gold prices higher in 2026. Despite the second quarter being the worst for gold in 12 years, as a sharp rise in energy prices increased inflation expectations and created the possibility of interest rate hikes, central bank demand will help gold finish the year on a positive note, according to…
According to @BankofAmerica , speculation in the U.S. stock market has reached its highest level since 1999-2000, a period that preceded the start of the longest bull market for gold in modern history. Overvalued stocks and lagging gold are a pattern, not a mystery. On July 6, 2026, gold was around $4,160, down 3% year-to-date,…
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Despite acknowledging potential short-term headwinds, analysts remain broadly optimistic about gold's future price trajectory, with many expecting continued growth over the next several years. The path to $6,000 per ounce remains open, even after a correction in 2026. Central banks continue to diversify their reserves aggressively, a major driver of demand. After the escalation…
After reaching an all-time high in January 2026, gold prices continued to decline during the first half of the year, raising investor concerns about further drops and whether it is an opportune time to buy.
While short-term forecasts are uncertain, analysts are more confident in predicting gold's long-term trajectory, citing strong fundamentals despite temporary macroeconomic…
According to Brian Lundin, while the West sets gold prices, China is buying it up. While news headlines continue to confirm my skepticism about any peace agreement between the US and Iran, bulls in the metals markets feel like they are being punished for something.
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While other "risk assets" are rising, gold and…
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