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Analyse de marché

Analyse de marché

Toute l'actualité de la finance et des marchés (Banques, assurances, gestion d'actifs, M&A, matières premières...). Vidéos, analyses, commentaires et interviews.

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Gold’s +125% Surge Since 2023 Defies Rate Hikes: Fed’s First 2026 Increase Triggers “Buy the Fact” Rebound Toward $4,344

Summary. Quantitative Analysis of Gold Performance (+123% Since September 2023) and 2026-2027 Projections Post-Fed Decision A. Executive Summary. Gold spot price (Sept 18, 2026): $4,344.67, consolidating post-Fed. - Performance since Sept 2023: +125%, indicating a structural bull market. - Fed decision (Sept 16, 2026): Raised rates by 25 bps to 3.75-4.00%, the first hike since…

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Why Gold Is Hitting Record Highs Despite Higher Interest Rates

The structural relationship between gold and US real rates has broken since 2022. Previously, gold moved inversely to real rates; now, gold reaches all-time highs despite elevated real rates (~2.0%). Central banks from emerging markets have structurally increased gold purchases to ~1,000 tonnes/year (2022-2024), up from ~500 tonnes, shifting away from dollar reserves. This creates…

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Commodities & ESG taxonomy: real returns in a world of real assets

Thesis. Raw materials are regaining a core portfolio role (hedging a multipolar world and AI electrification), while European ESG shifts from an obligation-based regime to a market-driven one, less reporting, more pricing. Key Data. January 2026 records: gold ~$5,405/oz (2025 annual average: $3,431, +44%), silver >$121/oz, LME copper $13,238/t. Citi scenarios (Q3 2026): Brent…

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Gold  against stocks

Gold was indeed a high-Sharpe asset during certain windows from 2025 to early 2026, and long-term bonds did under perform. However, as of September 7, 2026, gold does not "beat tech stocks" over 12 months. NVDA and the S&P have higher TTM returns than those shown in the table. The illustrative recalibration (TTM window,…

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The Perfect Storm: Oil’s Spike, Japan’s Debt Shock, and Nvidia’s Quiet Bond Exit

Oil prices surged sharply after the US announced new strikes on southern Iran. Brent crude exceeded $92 per barrel, while WTI approached $90. Yields on 30-year Japanese government bonds (JGBs) surpassed 4.18%, and Nvidia exited the corporate bond market. How does this affect gold? Several explosions were reported near Bandar Abbas, Qeshm, and the Strait…

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Rising Demand for Direct Ownership of Physical Gold

The Financial Times reports a marked shift among wealthy investors toward direct ownership of physical gold and secure, individually allocated storage. In 2026, purchases by this group have surged to record levels, signaling a retreat from electronic exposure in favor of tangible assets. Industry observers highlight capacity constraints across premier vault facilities. London dealer Sharps…

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Structural Shifts in Central Bank Demand Are Redefining Gold’s Support Levels

According to Société Générale, the time has come to view gold optimistically again, as they observe a gradual recovery after months of correction. In a recent market assessment, analysts stated the precious metal looks attractive again, despite trimming their gold positions in the first half of the year. Gold recently rebounded to around $2,450 after…

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