Christopher Whalen, who has spent more than 40 years analyzing bank balance sheets and is a former employee of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, sold all his bank stocks in late September and opened short positions in consumer lending companies. The head of Whalen Global Advisors and editor of The Institutional Risk Analyst,…
Analyse de marché
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"The sooner we get our energy from anything besides oil, the better chance we have of not exterminating ourselves. I doubt the species lives long enough to die from climate change. That's what I think." Season 1, Episode 7 "Lioness"
Выражение «избавиться от нефти» вводит в заблуждение: «рынки» перераспределяют капитал в зависимости от изменения доходности…
Central banks’ accumulation of gold reflects a structural shift in the monetary system: gold is becoming a strategic reserve and settlement asset, beyond its traditional hedging function. According to the World Gold Council, 89% of central banks expect global gold reserves to increase over the next 12 months, and 45% plan to increase their own…
The dominant source remains macro-narrative, but quantitative trading requires microstructure layers missing from the "petrodollar → gold" narrative. Since May 2026, vessels, including VLCCs and LNG carriers, have switched off AIS transponders to cross the Strait of Hormuz in small groups, sometimes under |...| coordination; by August 2026, 62% of tanker crossings occurred with AIS…
Ronnie Stöferle, managing partner at Incrementum AG and co-author of the annual report “In Gold We Trust,” has raised his estimate of the probability of a revaluation of US gold reserves from 10–15% to more than 50%.
In an interview with Maggie Lake on October 7, 2026, he linked this possibility to pressure on…
Rising silver prices may increase scrap supply while simultaneously raising recyclers’ need for working capital. Because raw materials are usually purchased before payment is received from refining plants, higher metal prices and processing delays increase financial pressure and may slow the flow of recycled silver onto the market. In 2025, global silver recycling volume grew…
In 2026, gold has already significantly risen in price. Therefore, when Jim Rickards says the $10,000 mark is near, it is appropriate to ask: why? His forecast is not based on guesswork. He uses a pattern that has already proven effective: it is what allowed predicting the 2015 price bottom with an error of only…
The Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates by another 25 basis points has drawn market attention, with 10-year Treasury yields exceeding 5%.
However, Laurent Morel believe investors are overemphasizing the Fed's actions. While central banks can influence demand through borrowing costs, they cannot address physical supply constraints, no rate hike can produce an extra…
The hypothesis is that crypto flows become a significant channel for High Net Worth Individuals (HNWI) leaving the UAE. The core issue is that direct capital flow data is unobservable, and all available proxies (e.g., exchange volume, on-chain data, stablecoin supply, real estate sales, surveys, suspicious activity reports) suffer from significant biases. These proxies measure…