Thesis. Two "invisible" projects converge in 2026: the completion of the licensed perimeter under MiCA (crypto) and the ISO 20022 mandate for structured addresses (payments). Together, they shape the compliance-execution layer of European programmable finance.
Key data. MiCA: ART/EMT applicable since 30/06/2024; CASP since 30/12/2024; end of grandfathering on 01/07/2026 (some states earlier: Germany/Ireland…
Gold was indeed a high-Sharpe asset during certain windows from 2025 to early 2026, and long-term bonds did under perform. However, as of September 7, 2026, gold does not "beat tech stocks" over 12 months. NVDA and the S&P have higher TTM returns than those shown in the table.
The illustrative recalibration (TTM window,…
Bitcoin surged to $76,800-$77,600, gaining 6-8% in 24 hours and 20% for the week. The market saw over $4 billion in 24-hour liquidations, marking the most violent short squeeze of 2026. Combined BTC/ETH ETF inflows exceeded $800 million, indicating massive institutional entries. The funding rate shifted from negative to positive, signaling a return of long…
Price is the last indicator to move
The stablecoin market has reached a new milestone: over $315 billion in total market capitalization, serving as the backbone of on-chain settlements, with adoption now extending far beyond the crypto ecosystem alone cross-border payments, corporate treasuries, and collateral for tokenized finance. Yet a massive, under-discussed anomaly persists:…
Global real estate remains the dominant asset class, valued at approximately $393-448 trillion (Savills, 2026 estimates), about 3.3 times the global equity market capitalization and 2.8 times that of bonds. In this context, institutional capital is structurally shifting toward rental income streams (SFR/BTR). The institutional share of the US Single-Family Rental market remains low (2.0-3.1%…
The voluntary carbon market is on a well-documented trajectory: roughly $2 billion today, heading toward $100 billion by 2030. CSRD reporting, net-zero commitments, and the rise of tokenized credits are pulling institutional money into a market that was, until recently, a boutique affair of project developers and well-meaning corporates.
There is just one problem, and…
SpaceX (SPCX) faces a probable short-term correction of ≥30% (62-78% probability) from current levels (~$141-146), driven by negative convexity, retail unwind, and liquidity spirals, while long-term (3-10 years) appreciation remains significant.
The company is transitioning from a launch and constellation firm to a multi-planetary spatial infrastructure, data, and AI platform with increasing returns and…
Tokenized Municipal Micro-Bonds. We use the XRPL infrastructure to issue tokenized bonds funded by urban tolls… and local property taxes from specific neighborhoods. Steelldy provides the Risk Engine to rate these micro-bonds in real time via local OSINT.
The shift from appreciation tokens to yield structures represents the true institutional inflection point for RWAs. It…
According to the methodology of Dixit and Pindyck (1994), gold contains an implicit call option on the collapse of the fiat system. The price dynamics St incorporate a Poisson jump process Nt: dSt/St = μdt + σdWt + (J-1)dNt, where Nt∼Poisson(λ) for the arrival of a systemic fiat crisis, and J is the jump amplitude…
Gold (Sharpe 0.4-0.7, Volatility 12-15%) acts as a reserve asset, inversely correlated with the DXY. Its low Sharpe ratio is due to no carry yield and custody costs, but it offers absolute decorrelation during systemic geopolitical shocks. Physical gold is now central to monetary influence wars (BIS Basel 2024-2025). Steelldy Engine 3.8 and Planet Labs…
Analyse de marché
Carbon Credit Market