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Close-up view of the iconic United States Capitol dome with American flag in Washington, D.C.
Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché MarketsMarkets

Revaluation of official US gold, balance sheet monetization, and quantifiable implications

The US official gold reserves stand at 261,498,926 troy ounces (8,133.5 metric tons), valued at $42.2222 per ounce under the 1973 statute, totaling $11.041 billion. Market value at mid-July 2026 spot prices (~$4,050–4,130/oz) is approximately $1.06–1.08 trillion. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent confirmed in July 2026 that all gold is accounted for, valuing over $1 trillion…
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Stock analysis workspace featuring charts, a calculator, and currency for data-driven insights.
Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché MarketsMarkets

Decline of Sovereign Bonds as a Safe-Haven Asset and Rotation Toward Gold

Summary: Since 2021, the US bond market has experienced upward pressure on yields, with the stock-bond correlation turning positive. Several institutions (Morgan Stanley, Osaic, Sagard) have officially reduced their allocation to fixed income in favor of gold and real assets. This study models this regime change using a two-state HMM, GARCH volatility, and a Merton…
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Digital art showcasing a 3D abstraction of golden floating cubes with a soft blurred background.
Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché MarketsMarkets

Gold Projected to Reach $5,000

https://www.steelldy-indices.com Aakash Doshi (State Street) predicts that gold's next $1,000 move will be upward, with consolidation around $4,000 before expanding to $4,750–$5,500. This forecast aligns perfectly with our proprietary quantitative models. By integrating market data, institutional flows, and geopolitical signals through M. Theory 4.2 and leveraging Steelldy Risk Engine 12.4 and Quantum-Classical Hybrid 1.0 on…
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A close-up image of various world coins in a pile, highlighting different currencies.
Economic studies Reports

War, Hidden Inflation, and the Role of Gold and Silver as Monetary Anchors

https://www.steelldy-indices.com/https://www.steelldy-indices.com The persistence of armed conflicts (Ukraine, Iran, tensions in Asia) and disruptions in energy supply, analyzed in our previous articles (ST-0726-IRAN-GOLD, ST-0727-CHINA-GOLD), validate a fundamental premise of quantitative finance: wars are the primary driver of debt monetization and hidden inflation that erodes savers' wealth. Faced with a deficit in traditional financing (tax collection, bond…
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Illuminated Türkiye İş Bankası building in Ankara, Türkiye at night with vehicle motion blur.
Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché MarketsMarkets

Gold Holds Near $4,100 as Geopolitical Pause Eases Sovereign Selling Pressure

https://www.steelldy-indices.com Current gold price is around $4,100-4,103/oz, with a neutral-to-bullish short-term stance but an intact seller regime risk. The divergence alert between the model and Polymarket is not triggered. Semantic NLP shows a "gold distrust" score of 0.48 (down from 0.62), with dominant themes being the Fed decision, US-Iran pause, oil easing, and PBOC purchases.…
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Toy soldiers and Iran flag on a world map symbolizing geopolitical tensions.
Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché MarketsMarkets

How the War with Iran Is Shaking Central Bank Confidence in Gold Reserves

https://www.steelldy-indices.com The Iran-United States war, triggered in Q1 2026, introduced a second-order exogenous shock to the gold market, destabilizing the strongest pillar of the decade-long bull run: central bank demand. The announcement of the suspension of gold sales by the Azerbaijani sovereign wealth fund (SOFAZ), forced sales by Turkey and Russia, and the contraction of…
07/24/20260Comments

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Close-up of two golden Bitcoin coins on a tablet screen displaying financial data.
Cryptos

Structural risk of private banking blockchains on Bitcoin and the crypto ecosystem

https://www.steelldy-indices.com JPMorgan's note from July 9, 2026 identifies a structural threat to Bitcoin and public cryptocurrencies: the rapid expansion of private and permissioned blockchains driven by commercial banks (Kinexys, JPM Coin, tokenized deposits, CBDCs). This trend, supported by settlement volumes exceeding $4 trillion on Kinexys, could siphon institutional demand for public digital assets by offering…
07/13/20260Comments

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Close-up of a finance article on cryptocurrency with charts in the background.
Cryptos

Uniswap’s UNI Poised for Growth as Institutional Interest Surges with RWA Integration

Uniswap (UNI) has re-emerged with renewed institutional narrative momentum following Standard Chartered’s 15 June 2026 initiation of coverage, targeting $100 by end-2030 (~35–40x from ~$2.50–2.70 base; staged path: $6.50 EOY2026, $20 2027, $40 2028, $65 2029). The thesis hinges on tokenized Real-World Assets (RWAs) driving DeFi TVL to ~$2.7T (37x expansion) and Uniswap capturing dominant…
06/17/20260Comments

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Cryptos

Analysis of the paradigmatic transition towards a “Digital Bretton Woods” and quantitative modeling of the risks/returns of Real World Asset (RWA) Tokenization

We are not in a classic crypto cycle; we are witnessing the commoditization of the settlement layer. Bretton Woods I (1944) used a gold-pegged dollar settled via correspondent banks (SWIFT/CHIPS). The current regime (post-1971) relies on the petrodollar and sovereign debt. Bretton Woods 2.0 is based on a Dual Pillar Regime: 1. Physical Pillar…
05/18/20260Comments

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