The structural relationship between gold and US real rates has broken since 2022. Previously, gold moved inversely to real rates; now, gold reaches all-time highs despite elevated real rates (~2.0%). Central banks from emerging markets have structurally increased gold purchases to ~1,000 tonnes/year (2022-2024), up from ~500 tonnes, shifting away from dollar reserves. This creates…
Thesis. Not all technological revolutions are equal as investment themes, they are equal as cost curves. Three curves collapse simultaneously in 2026-2030, the cost of AI inference, the cost of physical action (humanoid robotics and logistics), the cost of biological reading/writing (sequencing, synthesis) and their convergence creates the decade's markets: instrumented smart cities, personalized health,…
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