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Bitcoin coin standing on a chessboard with silver and brass chess pieces. Concept of strategic digital currency investment.
Cryptos Tech

Beyond the Sharpe Ratio: Why Tail-Risk Hedging Is Essential in Bitcoin’s Fat-Tailed Markets

A long-only Bitcoin strategy with a target Sharpe ratio of 0.8–1.2 and 60–70% volatility is an inherently risky proposition. The asset is high-beta with extreme negative skew and fat tails. While the elevated Sharpe suggests a high risk premium, this masks a pathological risk of ruin during retail capitulation events. The market's inefficiency stems…
08/15/20260Comments

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Intricate futuristic circuit board with geometric patterns in teal and gray tones.
Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché MarketsMarkets

Profitability and margin structure. Quantified comparison of SpaceX (Q2 2026) vs hyperscaler models (AWS, Azure/Microsoft Cloud, Google Cloud, Meta AI infrastructure).

https://www.steelldy-indices.com SpaceX has a gross margin of 55.3%, but negative operating and net margins (-1.8% and -6.9%). Only Starlink connectivity is profitable (~+$1.66B OI), while Space and AI segments are loss-making. AWS boasts a 39.4% operating margin (+650 bps YoY), generating ~60% of Amazon's consolidated OI from ~21% of revenue. Microsoft Cloud's gross margin is…
08/10/20260Comments

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A satellite orbits Earth, showcasing a stunning blue ocean and continents from space.
En chiffresEn chiffres MarketsMarkets

Structured Quantitative Financial Analysis of SpaceX. Consolidated Accounts for Q2 2026 (period ended June 30, 2026)

Revenue decomposition and growth dynamics for Q2 FY26 Consolidated revenue reached 7,814, representing a 91.94% year-over-year increase from 4,071. The total revenue growth of 3,743 is driven by AI compute capacity rental (approx. +1,880, 50.2% of the increase), Starlink Connectivity (approx. +1,700, 45.4%), and Space Launch & other (residual +163). Key margins for Q2 FY26:…
08/06/20260Comments

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Aerial view of a snow-covered quarry in Bewerley, North Yorkshire, England during winter.
Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché Economie circulaireEconomie circulaire MarketsMarkets

Dr. Copper & Global Recession Risk

Executive Summary Copper ("Dr. Copper") remains a useful leading indicator of global industrial activity due to its ubiquitous use (power grids, construction, automotive, electronics, data centers). Futures are currently trading above $6.50/lb (COMEX), up about 30% year-over-year, and are holding above the 50- and 200-day moving averages. The metal formed a trough before equity markets…
08/04/20260Comments

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Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché

On-chain and behavioral analysis focuses on investor cohorts, modeled by Gaussian Mixture Models, and key indicators

On-chain and behavioral analysis focuses on investor cohorts, modeled by Gaussian Mixture Models, and key indicators. Mega Whales (>10k BTC, 28% of supply) show silent accumulation, signaling a neutral to bullish trend. Whales (1k-10k BTC, 22% of supply) are actively increasing their exchange outflows, indicating active accumulation. Sharks (100-1k BTC, 18% of supply) are in…
03/21/20260Comments

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