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Bitcoin coin standing on a chessboard with silver and brass chess pieces. Concept of strategic digital currency investment.
Cryptos Tech

Beyond the Sharpe Ratio: Why Tail-Risk Hedging Is Essential in Bitcoin’s Fat-Tailed Markets

A long-only Bitcoin strategy with a target Sharpe ratio of 0.8–1.2 and 60–70% volatility is an inherently risky proposition. The asset is high-beta with extreme negative skew and fat tails. While the elevated Sharpe suggests a high risk premium, this masks a pathological risk of ruin during retail capitulation events. The market's inefficiency stems…
08/15/20260Comments

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Detailed image of a vintage computer motherboard with RAM sticks.
Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché MarketsMarkets

Micron (MU) Dynamics, Memory Sector Supercycle and AI Infrastructure

https://www.steelldy-indices.com The semiconductor memory industry (MU/Samsung/SK Hynix oligopoly controlling >95% of DRAM/HBM) is in a structural supercycle driven by AI data center demand (hyperscalers investing over $300 billion by 2026). Unlike past cycles (2001, 2008, 2013) dominated by PCs and smartphones, current demand is nonlinear, scaling with LLM size and dataset complexity. Sunk costs from…
07/22/20260Comments

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Close-up of colorful copper electrical wires against a vibrant green backdrop, showcasing vivid contrasts and textures.
Carbon Credit MarketCarbon Credit Market lntélligence artificielle Tech

The Super-Cycle of Energy Transition and AI Metals

1. Demand Megatrends FTSE Russell identifies two megatrends: AI and the energy transition. We quantify them as follows: A. AI Infrastructure: The five hyperscalers (Amazon, Microsoft, Google, Meta, Apple) invested $320 billion in H1 2026, in line with an annual projection of $650 billion. Each 100 MW data center requires approximately 30,000 tons of…
07/12/20260Comments

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lntélligence artificielle Tech

Copper-to-optics transition, commoditization of AI interconnects, quantitative analysis of Corning, Coherent, Lumentum drivers

www.steelldy-indices.com This study analyzes the evolution of the fiber optics industry in the context of the explosion of data centers for artificial intelligence, covering the period 2026-2031. The central thesis we defend is as follows: the transition from copper to optics in data center infrastructure is an irreversible structural trend, based on fundamental physical constraints…
07/07/20260Comments

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Digitalisation

Chipflation: How AI is Reshaping Global Economics and Investment Landscapes

Abstract The emergence of artificial intelligence as a transformative economic force has catalyzed an unprecedented surge in demand for semiconductor components, creating a phenomenon economists are beginning to term "chipflation." This technical analysis examines the multifaceted impact of AI-driven chip demand on global inflation, market dynamics, and investment opportunities across the semiconductor ecosystem. Through quantitative…
05/15/20260Comments

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Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché Cryptos

Morgan Stanley Warning: The U.S. Could Face a Major Power Shortage by 2028

Morgan Stanley warns that accelerating global AI adoption is fueling an unprecedented demand for electricity, potentially leading to a 20% U.S. power shortfall by 2028 if supply doesn't match the exponential growth. Massive U.S. data centers, driven by major tech investments exceeding $400 billion by companies like Microsoft, Google, Amazon, and Meta for compute capacity…
04/13/20260Comments

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Legal and tax studies Reports

Le pivot fiscal audacieux de Meta validé par la “substance économique”

Analyse techniquement irréprochable de la stratégie fiscale la plus avancée dans l'ère post-BEPS (Base Erosion and Profit Shifting) Ce schéma n'est pas une simple "optimisation", mais une réingénierie structurelle de la chaîne de valeur pour aligner le (i) lieu de la création de richesse fiscale sur le (ii) lieu de la substance économique réelle (Compute).…
12/11/20250Comments

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Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché lntélligence artificielle Tech

Dette record dans l’industrie de l’intélligence artificielle

RÉSUMÉ Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, Microsoft et Oracle ont émis un total de 88 milliards de dollars en obligations de qualité investissement entre septembre et novembre 2025, selon Dealogic. Ce montant, qui dépasse largement les émissions des trois années précédentes (66 milliards de dollars), est principalement motivé par des investissements massifs dans l'infrastructure de l'IA, notamment…
12/11/20250Comments

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lntélligence artificielle Tech

AI 2024-2030: The Paradox of the Speculative Bubble and the Sequential Technological Revolution

IA 2024-2030 : le paradoxe de la bulle spéculative et de la révolution technologique séquentielle L'IA est une bulle spéculative et une révolution technologique. Les valorisations des startups sont excessives, mais l'infrastructure essentielle (NVDA, etc.) ne l'est pas. Euphorie en 2024-2025, puis correction (2026-2027), avant création de valeur réelle (2028-2030). Privilégier les vendeurs d'infrastructures…
11/30/20250Comments

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