The provided article is a financial news analysis of the September 19-20, 2023, FOMC meeting, confirmed by internal data and factual verification. All key assertions, such as a 5.25%-5.50% target rate, a ~97% pause probability, NFP of +187,000, unemployment at 3.8%, core CPI at 4.3%, and a $95 billion/month QT, are accurate.
The meeting…
The structural relationship between gold and US real rates has broken since 2022. Previously, gold moved inversely to real rates; now, gold reaches all-time highs despite elevated real rates (~2.0%). Central banks from emerging markets have structurally increased gold purchases to ~1,000 tonnes/year (2022-2024), up from ~500 tonnes, shifting away from dollar reserves. This creates…
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