On the last day of June, gold traded at $4,023 per ounce. Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation (OCBC), a major Southeast Asian bank, lowered its year-end gold forecast from $5,100 to $4,360, citing rising real yields, a stronger U.S. dollar, and a more hawkish Federal Reserve policy.
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The bank also reduced its silver forecast by about…
Société Générale projects a more moderate pace of gold purchases by central banks in the future. While central bank demand has been a key driver of gold's multi-year rise to an all-time high of $5,600, and a recent World Gold Council survey indicates continued official sector buying, one bank adopts a cautious stance, warning that…
Gold prices are expected to fall below $3,900 per ounce this year before bottoming out, with a subsequent rally to $5,300 by 2027, according to a forecast from TD Securities. The precious metal has started the week on a disappointing note, hovering near support around $4,000 per ounce as persistent inflation concerns weigh on the…
Gold is currently weakening despite inflation, due to several key factors. In May, Germany’s inflation rate was surprisingly moderate at 2.6% annually, significantly lower than the eurozone’s 3.2%. This deviation from the European trend was primarily driven by a temporary fuel subsidy introduced by the German government, which reduced gasoline and diesel prices. However, this…
Bank of America suggests gold could potentially reach $6,000, but not in the near term, due to significant headwinds from the Federal Reserve's tightening monetary policy. The bank was previously optimistic during gold's rally last year, expecting prices to hit $6,000 by spring. However, a recent correction has led its metals research team, led by…
The tightening of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve continues to negatively impact the gold market, with many analysts expecting prices to retest support around $4,000. However, one bank offers investors simple advice: "buy on the dip."
In anticipation of the third quarter, Société Générale's market strategists updated their multi-asset portfolio, recommending investors maintain…
Recent news headlines have shifted as frequently as gold prices, leaving investors questioning market direction. A disconnect between record demand forecasts and sluggish price action adds to the confusion. Damian White and Joe Elkjer analyze the noise to clarify gold’s dynamics, examining whether the recent price decline is a warning or a pause in a…
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) trades at approximately $65,400–66,000, down ~0.8% in the observed session, within a recent consolidation range post a relief bounce from sub-$60k lows earlier in June 2026. The provided chart confirms a 1H/4H structure with MA5/10/20 clustering near $66,200–66,300, recent rejection at $67,255 highs, and downside probe the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone around…
Gold prices have seen aggressive growth in recent years, reaching a historic high in January before stabilizing. Many market veterans, like mining legend Pierre Lassonde, view this as a temporary consolidation before a multi-year bull cycle, predicting gold could reach $17,250. This optimistic forecast is primarily driven by the surge in US government debt. Analyzing…
Executive Summary
The posited Liquidity Trap manifests as a regime where elevated nominal asset prices (gold near recent highs, equities at stretched valuations) coincide with forced liquidations driven by margin calls, collateral constraints, and retail FOMO entry, without corresponding real-economy liquidity expansion. Under conditions of gold stabilizing below $4,150/oz and WTI/Brent oil around $88/bbl (current…
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