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Cryptos

Construction of a Conditional Hedge via MNQ Micro E-mini Nasdaq Short. Calibration on BTC Beta=0.45

This study details an advanced quantitative modeling of a conditional hedge for a crypto-exposed portfolio, employing Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100 (MNQ) futures contracts as the hedging instrument. The calibration is based on a dynamic conditional beta of BTC/Nasdaq at 0.45, estimated using a multivariate DCC-GARCH(1,1) model with Markov regime switching. Key Findings: ¤ Minimum Variance Hedge…
2 jours ago0Comments

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Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché

Silver vs. Gold: When and Why Silver Often Takes the Lead

Silver, a unique hybrid asset (monetary, industrial, speculative, linked to energy transition), exhibits higher volatility than gold. Its price is influenced by monetary demand, industrial demand, physical supply, and real interest rates. The primary driver, monetary demand, is linked to real interest rates (nominal rates minus inflation). When real rates are negative, the opportunity…
juin 2, 20260Comments

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A striking illumination of a gold-colored mineral against a dark background, showcasing its intricate details.
Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché

Gold Prices Dip, But Fund Manager Sees Long-Term Rally Intact

Excerpt from the article by Neils Christensen The gold market has experienced a downturn, with prices falling below $4,500 and testing the critical 200-day moving average support. Despite this short-term selling pressure, attributed to inflation concerns and speculation of interest rate hikes, one fund manager, Tom Winmill of the Midas Discovery Fund, believes the long-term…
juin 2, 20260Comments

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Cryptos

From Hedge to Strategy: Gold’s New Role, Bitcoin’s Rise in Portfolios

Gold is considered a tactical long-term asset, but Bitcoin is currently undervalued. ReSolve Asset Management's portfolio manager, Richard Latimer, notes that gold's current price consolidation is expected after its early-year surge. Despite strategically remaining bullish on gold for its structural bull market, ReSolve has become tactically neutral in the short term, having taken profits and…
mai 21, 20260Comments

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Cryptos

Analysis of the paradigmatic transition towards a « Digital Bretton Woods » and quantitative modeling of the risks/returns of Real World Asset (RWA) Tokenization

We are not in a classic crypto cycle; we are witnessing the commoditization of the settlement layer. Bretton Woods I (1944) used a gold-pegged dollar settled via correspondent banks (SWIFT/CHIPS). The current regime (post-1971) relies on the petrodollar and sovereign debt. Bretton Woods 2.0 is based on a Dual Pillar Regime: 1. Physical Pillar…
mai 18, 20260Comments

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DécarbonisationDécarbonisation Digitalisation

Taxonomy and Characterization of Carbon Credit Tokens (CCTs)

1.1 Direct Ownership Tokens 1.1.1 On-chain Representation of Carbon Credits Held in Custody by the Investor Direct ownership tokens constitute the most fundamental form of carbon credit tokenization, representing a digital claim on a physical carbon credit held in custody by an accredited custodian. This structure ensures a one-to-one correspondence between the issued token and…
mai 15, 20260Comments

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Cryptos

Microstructure interne du ratio ETH/BTC

ETH/BTC est le prix relatif de deux systèmes distribués en concurrence. Ses déterminants principaux sont : Prime de contrat intelligent : capitalisation sur l’écosystème DeFi et les dApps. Concurrence des "ETH Killers" : Solana, Avalanche, Sui, Aptos, etc., qui érodent la part de marché d’Ethereum. Mécanisme de destruction EIP‑1559 et frais de gaz : l’activité réseau alimente l’accumulation…
mai 13, 20260Comments

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