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Tag: GARCH volatility

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A close-up image of various world coins in a pile, highlighting different currencies.
Economic studies Reports

War, Hidden Inflation, and the Role of Gold and Silver as Monetary Anchors

https://www.steelldy-indices.com/https://www.steelldy-indices.com The persistence of armed conflicts (Ukraine, Iran, tensions in Asia) and disruptions in energy supply, analyzed in our previous articles (ST-0726-IRAN-GOLD, ST-0727-CHINA-GOLD), validate a fundamental premise of quantitative finance: wars are the primary driver of debt monetization and hidden inflation that erodes savers' wealth. Faced with a deficit in traditional financing (tax collection, bond…
07/28/20260Comments

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Smoke rising from factory chimneys at sunrise, symbolizing pollution and environmental impact.
Carbon Credit MarketCarbon Credit Market

Synthetic carbon credit tokens: A new frontier in tax uncertainty for climate-savvy investors

Synthetic carbon credit tokens, as derivative instruments replicating reference indices (ICE EUA, voluntary composites) via futures, total return swaps (TRS), or oracle-based smart contracts, diverge fundamentally from physical credits in fiscal characterization. Physical credits are generally treated as intangible property (capital assets under IRC analogies or inventory), while synthetics lean toward Section 1256 contracts (mark-to-market,…
06/19/20260Comments

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Cryptos

BoJ Rate Hike Weakens Yen transmission, Damping Bitcoin Volatility

The transmission mechanism Yen strength → USD/JPY depreciation → yen carry trade deleveraging → global liquidity contraction → BTC risk-asset beta spike (~2–3x) remains empirically robust. However, it is significantly attenuated following the BoJ’s fully delivered and well-telegraphed 25 bps hike to 1.0% (highest since 1995) on 16 June 2026. Speculative net-short JPY positions elevated…
06/17/20260Comments

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Smartphone displaying trading app with Bitcoin coins on a dark surface.
Cryptos

Bitcoin Struggles Near $66,000 Amidst Extreme Fear: What’s Next?

Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) trades at approximately $65,400–66,000, down ~0.8% in the observed session, within a recent consolidation range post a relief bounce from sub-$60k lows earlier in June 2026. The provided chart confirms a 1H/4H structure with MA5/10/20 clustering near $66,200–66,300, recent rejection at $67,255 highs, and downside probe the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone around…
06/17/20260Comments

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