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Tag: CryptoQuant

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Profitability and margin structure. Quantified comparison of SpaceX (Q2 2026) vs hyperscaler models (AWS, Azure/Microsoft Cloud, Google Cloud, Meta AI infrastructure).

https://www.steelldy-indices.com SpaceX has a gross margin of 55.3%, but negative operating and net margins (-1.8% and -6.9%). Only Starlink connectivity is profitable (~+$1.66B OI), while Space and AI segments are loss-making. AWS boasts a 39.4% operating margin (+650 bps YoY), generating ~60% of Amazon's consolidated OI from ~21% of revenue. Microsoft Cloud's gross margin is…

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Structured Quantitative Financial Analysis of SpaceX. Consolidated Accounts for Q2 2026 (period ended June 30, 2026)

Revenue decomposition and growth dynamics for Q2 FY26 Consolidated revenue reached 7,814, representing a 91.94% year-over-year increase from 4,071. The total revenue growth of 3,743 is driven by AI compute capacity rental (approx. +1,880, 50.2% of the increase), Starlink Connectivity (approx. +1,700, 45.4%), and Space Launch & other (residual +163). Key margins for Q2 FY26:…

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Aerial view of a snow-covered quarry in Bewerley, North Yorkshire, England during winter.

Dr. Copper & Global Recession Risk

Executive Summary Copper ("Dr. Copper") remains a useful leading indicator of global industrial activity due to its ubiquitous use (power grids, construction, automotive, electronics, data centers). Futures are currently trading above $6.50/lb (COMEX), up about 30% year-over-year, and are holding above the 50- and 200-day moving averages. The metal formed a trough before equity markets…

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BTC Price and 60 kUSD Breakout

Bitcoin price recently traded between 58-64 kUSD, with a low of ~58.5 kUSD on July 1 and recovery above 60-63 kUSD as of July 6, 2026. The price action around the psychological/resistance level of 60 kUSD is factual. Institutional accumulation saw whales (wallets with ≥1,000 BTC) accumulate ~270,000 BTC over 30 days in April-May 2026,…

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BoJ Rate Hike Weakens Yen transmission, Damping Bitcoin Volatility

The transmission mechanism Yen strength → USD/JPY depreciation → yen carry trade deleveraging → global liquidity contraction → BTC risk-asset beta spike (~2–3x) remains empirically robust. However, it is significantly attenuated following the BoJ’s fully delivered and well-telegraphed 25 bps hike to 1.0% (highest since 1995) on 16 June 2026. Speculative net-short JPY positions elevated…

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Dashboard de surveillance Protocole “Crypto Pulse v 4.2”

Les 24 checkpoints on-chain (UTC). Automation via Steelldy OSINT 4.2 HeureModuleIndicateurSeuil alerteValeur 02/04Action bot00:00GlassnodeSSR< 2.5 (bull), > 5.0 (bear)3.42🟢 Neutre01:00CryptoQuantNet Minting 24h>$1B+$340M🟡 Surveillance02:00Steelldy PaExchange Reserves BTCHausse soudaine-1,847 BTC/j🔴 Sortie03:00Steelldy SPNarratif "Regulation"Volume >2σBas🟢04:00Steelldy v3.1ETF Net Flow (US open)>$500MEn attente-05:00Steelldy v3.2CTA Liquidation Risk>2M contrats2.4M🔴 Alert06:00Steeelldy v3.1HFT Cluster C1Cassure $64.8kStable🟢07:00Steelldy v2.3DXY Corrélationρ < -0.8-0.74🟡08:00Steelldy v3.1Sentiment Social<-0.5 (fear)+0.12🟢09:00SantimentWhale Accumulation>10k…

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Contraction des stablecoins, capitulation minière et interconnexions multi-actifs

Le marché des actifs numériques subit un resserrement structurel de liquidité, rappelant les crises de FTX (novembre 2022) et le débouclage du carry trade JPY (août 2024). Une modélisation quantitative révèle trois vecteurs de transmission systémique simultanés, une première depuis 2021. Les constats majeurs incluent : une contraction monétaire crypto, avec une baisse de 7,1…

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