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Tag: CryptoQuant

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Bitcoin coin standing on a chessboard with silver and brass chess pieces. Concept of strategic digital currency investment.
Cryptos Tech

Beyond the Sharpe Ratio: Why Tail-Risk Hedging Is Essential in Bitcoin’s Fat-Tailed Markets

A long-only Bitcoin strategy with a target Sharpe ratio of 0.8–1.2 and 60–70% volatility is an inherently risky proposition. The asset is high-beta with extreme negative skew and fat tails. While the elevated Sharpe suggests a high risk premium, this masks a pathological risk of ruin during retail capitulation events. The market's inefficiency stems…
08/15/20260Comments

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Intricate futuristic circuit board with geometric patterns in teal and gray tones.
Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché MarketsMarkets

Profitability and margin structure. Quantified comparison of SpaceX (Q2 2026) vs hyperscaler models (AWS, Azure/Microsoft Cloud, Google Cloud, Meta AI infrastructure).

https://www.steelldy-indices.com SpaceX has a gross margin of 55.3%, but negative operating and net margins (-1.8% and -6.9%). Only Starlink connectivity is profitable (~+$1.66B OI), while Space and AI segments are loss-making. AWS boasts a 39.4% operating margin (+650 bps YoY), generating ~60% of Amazon's consolidated OI from ~21% of revenue. Microsoft Cloud's gross margin is…
08/10/20260Comments

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A satellite orbits Earth, showcasing a stunning blue ocean and continents from space.
En chiffresEn chiffres MarketsMarkets

Structured Quantitative Financial Analysis of SpaceX. Consolidated Accounts for Q2 2026 (period ended June 30, 2026)

Revenue decomposition and growth dynamics for Q2 FY26 Consolidated revenue reached 7,814, representing a 91.94% year-over-year increase from 4,071. The total revenue growth of 3,743 is driven by AI compute capacity rental (approx. +1,880, 50.2% of the increase), Starlink Connectivity (approx. +1,700, 45.4%), and Space Launch & other (residual +163). Key margins for Q2 FY26:…
08/06/20260Comments

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Aerial view of a snow-covered quarry in Bewerley, North Yorkshire, England during winter.
Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché Economie circulaireEconomie circulaire MarketsMarkets

Dr. Copper & Global Recession Risk

Executive Summary Copper ("Dr. Copper") remains a useful leading indicator of global industrial activity due to its ubiquitous use (power grids, construction, automotive, electronics, data centers). Futures are currently trading above $6.50/lb (COMEX), up about 30% year-over-year, and are holding above the 50- and 200-day moving averages. The metal formed a trough before equity markets…
08/04/20260Comments

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Cryptos Tech

BTC Price and 60 kUSD Breakout

Bitcoin price recently traded between 58-64 kUSD, with a low of ~58.5 kUSD on July 1 and recovery above 60-63 kUSD as of July 6, 2026. The price action around the psychological/resistance level of 60 kUSD is factual. Institutional accumulation saw whales (wallets with ≥1,000 BTC) accumulate ~270,000 BTC over 30 days in April-May 2026,…
07/06/20260Comments

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Cryptos

BoJ Rate Hike Weakens Yen transmission, Damping Bitcoin Volatility

The transmission mechanism Yen strength → USD/JPY depreciation → yen carry trade deleveraging → global liquidity contraction → BTC risk-asset beta spike (~2–3x) remains empirically robust. However, it is significantly attenuated following the BoJ’s fully delivered and well-telegraphed 25 bps hike to 1.0% (highest since 1995) on 16 June 2026. Speculative net-short JPY positions elevated…
06/17/20260Comments

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Cryptos

Dashboard de surveillance Protocole “Crypto Pulse v 4.2”

Les 24 checkpoints on-chain (UTC). Automation via Steelldy OSINT 4.2 HeureModuleIndicateurSeuil alerteValeur 02/04Action bot00:00GlassnodeSSR< 2.5 (bull), > 5.0 (bear)3.42🟢 Neutre01:00CryptoQuantNet Minting 24h>$1B+$340M🟡 Surveillance02:00Steelldy PaExchange Reserves BTCHausse soudaine-1,847 BTC/j🔴 Sortie03:00Steelldy SPNarratif "Regulation"Volume >2σBas🟢04:00Steelldy v3.1ETF Net Flow (US open)>$500MEn attente-05:00Steelldy v3.2CTA Liquidation Risk>2M contrats2.4M🔴 Alert06:00Steeelldy v3.1HFT Cluster C1Cassure $64.8kStable🟢07:00Steelldy v2.3DXY Corrélationρ < -0.8-0.74🟡08:00Steelldy v3.1Sentiment Social<-0.5 (fear)+0.12🟢09:00SantimentWhale Accumulation>10k…
04/02/20260Comments

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