SpaceX (SPCX) faces a probable short-term correction of ≥30% (62-78% probability) from current levels (~$141-146), driven by negative convexity, retail unwind, and liquidity spirals, while long-term (3-10 years) appreciation remains significant.
The company is transitioning from a launch and constellation firm to a multi-planetary spatial infrastructure, data, and AI platform with increasing returns and…
The chart analysis (daily SPCX candlesticks, mid-June to mid-August 2026) confirms negative convexity from massive retail participation. The IPO on June 12, 2026, was at $135, peaking at $225.64 (+67%) on June 16, then bottoming around $105-110 in late July/early August. A recent rebound (highlighted blue zone) shows +37.79 points (+35.27%) over 11 days 7…
The stablecoin market has crossed a symbolic threshold: a market capitalization of over $315 billion. What was, five years ago, a niche tool for crypto traders has become a cash management infrastructure, for funds, fintechs, corporations, and soon, under the effect of the MiCA regulation, for regulated European institutions. Yet the fundamental question remains unchanged:…
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