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A close-up image of various world coins in a pile, highlighting different currencies.
Economic studies Reports

War, Hidden Inflation, and the Role of Gold and Silver as Monetary Anchors

https://www.steelldy-indices.com/https://www.steelldy-indices.com The persistence of armed conflicts (Ukraine, Iran, tensions in Asia) and disruptions in energy supply, analyzed in our previous articles (ST-0726-IRAN-GOLD, ST-0727-CHINA-GOLD), validate a fundamental premise of quantitative finance: wars are the primary driver of debt monetization and hidden inflation that erodes savers' wealth. Faced with a deficit in traditional financing (tax collection, bond…
2 hours ago0Comments

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Illuminated Türkiye İş Bankası building in Ankara, Türkiye at night with vehicle motion blur.
Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché MarketsMarkets

Gold Holds Near $4,100 as Geopolitical Pause Eases Sovereign Selling Pressure

https://www.steelldy-indices.com Current gold price is around $4,100-4,103/oz, with a neutral-to-bullish short-term stance but an intact seller regime risk. The divergence alert between the model and Polymarket is not triggered. Semantic NLP shows a "gold distrust" score of 0.48 (down from 0.62), with dominant themes being the Fed decision, US-Iran pause, oil easing, and PBOC purchases.…
23 hours ago0Comments

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Toy soldiers and Iran flag on a world map symbolizing geopolitical tensions.
Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché MarketsMarkets

How the War with Iran Is Shaking Central Bank Confidence in Gold Reserves

https://www.steelldy-indices.com The Iran-United States war, triggered in Q1 2026, introduced a second-order exogenous shock to the gold market, destabilizing the strongest pillar of the decade-long bull run: central bank demand. The announcement of the suspension of gold sales by the Azerbaijani sovereign wealth fund (SOFAZ), forced sales by Turkey and Russia, and the contraction of…
4 days ago0Comments

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Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché MarketsMarkets

Why OCBC Cut Its Gold Price Outlook by 15% While Other Banks Stay Bullish

On the last day of June, gold traded at $4,023 per ounce. Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation (OCBC), a major Southeast Asian bank, lowered its year-end gold forecast from $5,100 to $4,360, citing rising real yields, a stronger U.S. dollar, and a more hawkish Federal Reserve policy. https://www.steelldy-indices.com The bank also reduced its silver forecast by about…
07/02/20260Comments

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Close-up of gold bars on Thai baht banknotes, symbolizing wealth and prosperity.
Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché MarketsMarkets

Gold vs. Bonds: As Central Banks Hike Rates, Investors Ditch the Yellow Metal for Yield

Gold is currently weakening despite inflation, due to several key factors. In May, Germany’s inflation rate was surprisingly moderate at 2.6% annually, significantly lower than the eurozone’s 3.2%. This deviation from the European trend was primarily driven by a temporary fuel subsidy introduced by the German government, which reduced gasoline and diesel prices. However, this…
06/26/20260Comments

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Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché

Why Bank of America Still Sees Gold at $6,000 Despite Rate Hike Risks and Global Turmoil

Bank of America suggests gold could potentially reach $6,000, but not in the near term, due to significant headwinds from the Federal Reserve's tightening monetary policy. The bank was previously optimistic during gold's rally last year, expecting prices to hit $6,000 by spring. However, a recent correction has led its metals research team, led by…
06/23/20260Comments

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Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché

Federal Reserve Rate Hikes Fuel Gold Volatility, But SocGen Sees Record Highs by 2027

The tightening of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve continues to negatively impact the gold market, with many analysts expecting prices to retest support around $4,000. However, one bank offers investors simple advice: "buy on the dip." In anticipation of the third quarter, Société Générale's market strategists updated their multi-asset portfolio, recommending investors maintain…
06/22/20260Comments

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