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Tag: oil shock

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STEELLDYThrough Steelldy consulting company, I assist companies, fintechs, and institutions in two key areas: ◙ Economic and financial statistical modeling via our DaaS & SaaS software (macroeconomic index platform). Analysis of the transition to a multipolar world: stablecoins, gold, copper, precious metals, industrial metals, oil, dollars, euros, yuan, yen, rubles, CBDC, BISIH, mBridge, Unified Ledger, BRICS, and global regulations. ◙ Web3 Law & Taxation Legal and Tax structuring of blockchain-based projects, RWA, tokenization, cryptocurrency (stablecoins, CBDC), decentralized autonomous organizations (DAO), MiCA compliance, ISO 20022, AI, MANBRIC/biotech technologies, robotics, smart cities, and ESG taxonomy.

Analyse de marché

Analyse de marché

Gold vs Oil: A 44% Plunge No Dollar Price Can Show

The current dynamics between gold and oil are not a matter of a simple positive or negative correlation, but rather a self-reinforcing feedback transmission mechanism in the short term: a rise in oil prices (Brent at $108–112/b in October 2026 due to tensions in the Middle East) revives inflation expectations (U.S. energy inflation at 16.3%…

10/23/20260Comments

Iconic Euro sculpture with modern skyscrapers in Frankfurt, Germany showcasing the financial district.

Analyse de marché

Analyse de marché

Markets

Continued rate hikes. ECB towards 3.75%. Fed towards 5.75% by end of 2026

These projections come from a complete hybrid Monte Carlo simulation (incorporating coupled stochastic processes, embedded HMM regime-switching, an affine term structure for rates, and Poisson jumps for geopolitical shocks), calibrated on Steelldy Risk Engine 12.4 data (backtests 1971-2026), ECB staff projections from June 2026, and current macro flows (Bund 10Y ≈ 2.86-2.90%, ECB deposit rate…

06/26/20260Comments