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Tag: Long positions

STEELLDYThrough Steelldy consulting company, I assist companies, fintechs, and institutions in two key areas: ◙ Economic and financial statistical modeling via our DaaS & SaaS software (macroeconomic index platform). Analysis of the transition to a multipolar world: stablecoins, gold, copper, precious metals, industrial metals, oil, dollars, euros, yuan, yen, rubles, CBDC, BISIH, mBridge, Unified Ledger, BRICS, and global regulations. ◙ Web3 Law & Taxation Legal and Tax structuring of blockchain-based projects, RWA, tokenization, cryptocurrency (stablecoins, CBDC), decentralized autonomous organizations (DAO), MiCA compliance, ISO 20022, AI, MANBRIC/biotech technologies, robotics, smart cities, and ESG taxonomy.

Abstract illustration of AI with silhouette head full of eyes, symbolizing observation and technology.

lntélligence artificielle

The correlation of AI in the credit architecture

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY. QUANTITATIVE FINANCE Contagion in AI financing cannot be understood through valuation levels or even growth rates. It is grasped through the counterparty dependency structure and the second derivative of infrastructure spending. Our cross-analysis shows: ¤ The central risk is not the disappearance of AI demand, but the existence of a…

08/22/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Digitalisation

Analysis of regulatory obstacles regarding X Money

X Money, operated by X Payments LLC, is not a bank but a licensed money transmitter. It partners with Cross River Bank for deposits and banking services. While many state licensing barriers are cleared, it faces ongoing scrutiny of its banking partner, political and consumer-protection pressures, and structural risks from its social-media integration and Banking-as-a-Service…

08/20/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Flat lay of various cryptocurrency coins on white background, showcasing digital currency concept.

Cryptos

137 Countries, One Question. Measuring the CBDC Race Before the Settlement Reset

Central bank digital currencies have a communication problem. Every central bank publishes pilots, speeches and consultation papers, an endless stream of qualitative noise from which it is nearly impossible to extract the only question that matters for markets: who is actually going to ship, and how fast? The count is no longer small. 137 countries…

08/19/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Markets

SpaceX (SPCX). Probable Correction vs. Long-Term Trajectory

SpaceX (SPCX) faces a probable short-term correction of ≥30% (62-78% probability) from current levels (~$141-146), driven by negative convexity, retail unwind, and liquidity spirals, while long-term (3-10 years) appreciation remains significant. The company is transitioning from a launch and constellation firm to a multi-planetary spatial infrastructure, data, and AI platform with increasing returns and…

08/18/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Vector image representing online money transfer going in circles among people on green background

Tech Urbanisation

Tokenized Municipal Micro-Bonds

Tokenized Municipal Micro-Bonds. We use the XRPL infrastructure to issue tokenized bonds funded by urban tolls… and local property taxes from specific neighborhoods. Steelldy provides the Risk Engine to rate these micro-bonds in real time via local OSINT. The shift from appreciation tokens to yield structures represents the true institutional inflection point for RWAs. It…

Why Gold’s Low Sharpe Ratio Masks Its True Value as a Strategic Tail-Risk Hedge

Gold (Sharpe 0.4-0.7, Volatility 12-15%) acts as a reserve asset, inversely correlated with the DXY. Its low Sharpe ratio is due to no carry yield and custody costs, but it offers absolute decorrelation during systemic geopolitical shocks. Physical gold is now central to monetary influence wars (BIS Basel 2024-2025). Steelldy Engine 3.8 and Planet Labs…

08/16/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Bitcoin coin standing on a chessboard with silver and brass chess pieces. Concept of strategic digital currency investment.

Cryptos Tech

Beyond the Sharpe Ratio: Why Tail-Risk Hedging Is Essential in Bitcoin’s Fat-Tailed Markets

A long-only Bitcoin strategy with a target Sharpe ratio of 0.8–1.2 and 60–70% volatility is an inherently risky proposition. The asset is high-beta with extreme negative skew and fat tails. While the elevated Sharpe suggests a high risk premium, this masks a pathological risk of ruin during retail capitulation events. The market's inefficiency stems…

08/15/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Cryptos

Structural decoupling dynamics between Bitcoin and NASDAQ. Short Squeeze opportunity on low Floats

The macroeconomic context of April 2026 is marked by persistent monetary uncertainty, with the 10-year US rate at 4.38% weighing on tech and crypto valuations. A strong dollar (DXY at 104.2) is draining liquidity from emerging and risky markets. The VIX, at 28.4 (+12%), signals a high but manageable risk premium. On the geopolitical front,…

04/30/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Analyse de marché

Tactical Decoupling Gold/Wheat – Analysis of the Fall of Gold to $4,575

The drop in gold to $4,575 (the sharpest daily decline since 2020) does not invalidate the "Gold/Wheat = Twin Survival Assets" thesis. It represents a tactical decoupling induced by a sudden shift in monetary regime. Multi-engine analysis reveals the following sequence: Monetary Shock: The Fed adopts an unexpectedly hawkish tone, pushing rate cuts to 2027.…

03/19/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Analyse de marché

Impact des injections de liquidité ciblées de la FED sur les marchés des métaux précieux dans un contexte macro systémique

EXÉCUTIF SYNTHÈSE La Fed de New York lance un programme d'achat de bons du Trésor de 55,3 milliards USD (21 janvier - 11 février 2026), injectant de la liquidité ciblée, distincte du QE. Cette opération impacte les métaux précieux (or, argent) dans un contexte de risques systémiques (short squeeze sur l'argent, tensions RRP, dislocation JPY…

01/19/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Tag: Long positions

The correlation of AI in the credit architecture

Analysis of regulatory obstacles regarding X Money

137 Countries, One Question. Measuring the CBDC Race Before the Settlement Reset

SpaceX (SPCX). Probable Correction vs. Long-Term Trajectory

Tokenized Municipal Micro-Bonds

Why Gold’s Low Sharpe Ratio Masks Its True Value as a Strategic Tail-Risk Hedge

Beyond the Sharpe Ratio: Why Tail-Risk Hedging Is Essential in Bitcoin’s Fat-Tailed Markets

Structural decoupling dynamics between Bitcoin and NASDAQ. Short Squeeze opportunity on low Floats

Tactical Decoupling Gold/Wheat – Analysis of the Fall of Gold to $4,575

Impact des injections de liquidité ciblées de la FED sur les marchés des métaux précieux dans un contexte macro systémique

Editor's Choice

Webus International, société chinoise, lance un fonds de gestion de trésorerie d’entreprise de 300 millions de dollars en XRP