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Tag: JPMorgan

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lntélligence artificielle

IA Supercycle CapEx. Stochastic Regime Modeling, Real Options Valuation, and Material Supply Chain Disruption

The statement by the IMF Managing Director, Kristalina Georgieva, that AI-related infrastructure now captures more than 10% of global merchandise trade, and that global AI investment (as a % of GDP) will reach and likely exceed historically allocated levels for railways, power grids, and telecommunications, marks a macroeconomic regime shift of a magnitude equivalent to…
3 days ago0Comments

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A collection of shining gold bars and coins symbolizing wealth and investment.
Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché

Why Diesel Prices Are the Real Story and What They Mean for Gold Investors

The Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates by another 25 basis points has drawn market attention, with 10-year Treasury yields exceeding 5%. However, Laurent Morel believe investors are overemphasizing the Fed's actions. While central banks can influence demand through borrowing costs, they cannot address physical supply constraints, no rate hike can produce an extra…
09/22/20260Comments

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Focused image of 100g Intergold bars showcasing fine gold quality and luxury.
Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché

Gold’s +125% Surge Since 2023 Defies Rate Hikes: Fed’s First 2026 Increase Triggers “Buy the Fact” Rebound Toward $4,344

Summary. Quantitative Analysis of Gold Performance (+123% Since September 2023) and 2026-2027 Projections Post-Fed Decision A. Executive Summary. Gold spot price (Sept 18, 2026): $4,344.67, consolidating post-Fed. - Performance since Sept 2023: +125%, indicating a structural bull market. - Fed decision (Sept 16, 2026): Raised rates by 25 bps to 3.75-4.00%, the first hike since…
09/18/20260Comments

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Close-up of two golden Bitcoin coins on a tablet screen displaying financial data.
Cryptos

Structural risk of private banking blockchains on Bitcoin and the crypto ecosystem

https://www.steelldy-indices.com JPMorgan's note from July 9, 2026 identifies a structural threat to Bitcoin and public cryptocurrencies: the rapid expansion of private and permissioned blockchains driven by commercial banks (Kinexys, JPM Coin, tokenized deposits, CBDCs). This trend, supported by settlement volumes exceeding $4 trillion on Kinexys, could siphon institutional demand for public digital assets by offering…
07/13/20260Comments

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Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché

Analyse de la dynamique or vs. T-Bonds à l‘aune de la réversion de Bitcoin. Implications pour l’allocation d‘actifs

s La proposition de Mike McGlone (Bloomberg Intelligence) concernant une potentielle inversion de la corrélation entre Bitcoin (BTC), l'or et les bons du Trésor (T-Bonds) suggère un "Realignment Trade" plutôt qu'une simple rotation "Risk-On/Risk-Off", selon nos modèles quantitatifs (calibrés jusqu'à février 2026). L'analyse des cointégrations et des volatilités croisées montre que la surperformance historique de…
02/21/20260Comments

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Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché

Alerte arbitrage global. Découplage physique-papier (Shenzhen / COMEX) et analyse des KRI

Nous sommes en présence d'une anomalie de marché critique ("The Rush"). Les données ingestées par nos moteurs Steelldy indiquent une divergence extrême entre le prix physique localisé à Shenzhen (cotation acheteur ~93/oz) et le contrat spot du COMEX (clôture de vendredi à 84,57). L'écart de valorisation (>10%) dépasse largement les coûts de transaction et de…
02/21/20260Comments

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