The current dynamics between gold and oil are not a matter of a simple positive or negative correlation, but rather a self-reinforcing feedback transmission mechanism in the short term: a rise in oil prices (Brent at $108–112/b in October 2026 due to tensions in the Middle East) revives inflation expectations (U.S. energy inflation at 16.3%…
The rise in key interest rates (ECB deposit facility at 2.25% as of June 17, 2026, following a +25 bps increase) mechanically raises the nominal yield of new sovereign bonds and monetary instruments (€STR, deposits). For a hold-to-maturity investor, this generates a stable nominal carry. However, our decomposition using Steelldy Risk Engine 12.4 (factor decomposition,…
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