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Tag: FOMC

STEELLDYThrough Steelldy consulting company, I assist companies, fintechs, and institutions in two key areas: ◙ Economic and financial statistical modeling via our DaaS & SaaS software (macroeconomic index platform). Analysis of the transition to a multipolar world: stablecoins, gold, copper, precious metals, industrial metals, oil, dollars, euros, yuan, yen, rubles, CBDC, BISIH, mBridge, Unified Ledger, BRICS, and global regulations. ◙ Web3 Law & Taxation Legal and Tax structuring of blockchain-based projects, RWA, tokenization, cryptocurrency (stablecoins, CBDC), decentralized autonomous organizations (DAO), MiCA compliance, ISO 20022, AI, MANBRIC/biotech technologies, robotics, smart cities, and ESG taxonomy.

A man walks past the grand entrance of Banco de México, showcasing its classic architecture.

Analyse de marché

Markets

Why Gold’s 14% Q2 Drop May Be a Healthy Correction Amid Central Bank Support and Inflation Risks

Central bank demand will push gold prices higher in 2026. Despite the second quarter being the worst for gold in 12 years, as a sharp rise in energy prices increased inflation expectations and created the possibility of interest rate hikes, central bank demand will help gold finish the year on a positive note, according to…

07/09/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Detailed close-up of gold bars and coins symbolizing wealth and investment opportunities.

Markets

Gold Dips Below $4,000 on Fed Hawkishness, but Heraeus Sees Support from Easing Inflation Expectation

According to precious metals market analysts at Heraeus, gold and silver prices are expected to rise soon due to declining oil prices, which ease inflation expectations and reduce bond yields, while developments in the Pacific region suggest a potential shift of the gold market's center of gravity to the East. In their latest review, analysts…

06/30/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Analyse de marché

Is Gold’s Dip a Warning or a Buying Opportunity? Unpacking the Bull Market’s Next Move

Recent news headlines have shifted as frequently as gold prices, leaving investors questioning market direction. A disconnect between record demand forecasts and sluggish price action adds to the confusion. Damian White and Joe Elkjer analyze the noise to clarify gold’s dynamics, examining whether the recent price decline is a warning or a pause in a…

06/22/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Cryptos

Liquidity Heatmap showing bid clusters defending the $76,000–$80,000 levels

Cohort-Normalized CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta): Colored lines reveal that small orders ($100–$10K, green/orange lines) are buying on upward moves, while large blocks ($1M+, purple lines) are selling. Correlation with our April 27th statements : The April 27th post hypothesized a "stealth institutional distribution" in the $77,000–$80,000 range, with a negative delta of –699.51 and a…

05/01/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Cryptos

Halving Cycle: The Temporality of Capitulation Visual

Visual data: ~750 days after each halving mark a cyclical top. Subsequent capitulation period: 100–170 days. We are at ~750 days since the April 2024 halving. Correlation with our previous macro studies: The April 28 study postulated a structural decoupling of BTC/NASDAQ with a negative correlation (–0.42). The April 30 study incorporated the…

05/01/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Analyse de marché

Geopolitics, Monetary Risks Fuel UBS $6,200 Gold Price Target by End of 2026

UBS analysts forecast a significant increase in gold prices, predicting a rise of 20% to reach $6,200 per ounce by the end of 2026, up from current levels. This projection persists despite gold's subdued performance following the conflict with Iran, where it failed to act as a strong safe-haven asset, contrasting with its 65% surge…

03/17/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Cryptos

Modélisation multivariée des flux de liquidité et analyse des points de rupture systémiques du Bitcoin (BTC)

Le Bitcoin évolue actuellement dans une structure de compression de volatilité (Squeeze) centrée sur le niveau de support microstructurel des 67 144 USD. Notre moteur de calcul intégré identifie une anomalie de liquidité : un déséquilibre flagrant entre l'absorption institutionnelle (Spot ETF) et la capitulation du levier retail (Perpetuals). La tendance est dictée par la…

02/26/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Analyse de marché

Incitations de réallocation des fonds du marché monétaire (MMF) : de la facilité RRP aux bons du Trésor et Repos privés

La migration des capitaux des fonds monétaires (MMF) de la facilité de Reverse Repo (RRP) de la Fed vers les bons du Trésor US (T-Bills) et le marché des Repos privés est une optimisation rationnelle du rendement ("yield optimization"), et non un mouvement de panique. L'objectif est de capturer un spread de taux positif. Le…

01/28/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Analyse de marché

Analyse de la dynamique des marchés monétaires et implications sur les métaux précieux (focus XAGUSD)

L'analyse de la liquidité au 27 janvier 2026 montre une tension latente, malgré un prix de l'XAGUSD élevé à 106.90, anticipant une inflation structurelle et une demande industrielle fortes. Les marchés monétaires restent stables mais précaires, en phase d'attente ("Watch List") avant un potentiel franchissement de seuils critiques de stress, notamment la Réserve fédérale (Fed)…

Crise imminente : la hausse du yen et le carry trade en lévitation préfigurent un effondrement boursier en 2026

La combinaison d'une Fed dovish et d'uneBOJ hawkish crée un "effet ciseaux" amplifiant le risque fatal. Le mécanisme repose sur une forte divergence des taux d'intérêt anticipée entre décembre 2025 et début 2026 (Fed coupant de 25-50 pb, BOJ remontant de 25-50 pb). Ceci comprime le spread de rendement de 3.25% à 2.25%-2.75%. L'impact…

12/03/20250Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Tag: FOMC

Why Gold’s 14% Q2 Drop May Be a Healthy Correction Amid Central Bank Support and Inflation Risks

Gold Dips Below $4,000 on Fed Hawkishness, but Heraeus Sees Support from Easing Inflation Expectation

Is Gold’s Dip a Warning or a Buying Opportunity? Unpacking the Bull Market’s Next Move

Liquidity Heatmap showing bid clusters defending the $76,000–$80,000 levels

Halving Cycle: The Temporality of Capitulation Visual

Geopolitics, Monetary Risks Fuel UBS $6,200 Gold Price Target by End of 2026

Modélisation multivariée des flux de liquidité et analyse des points de rupture systémiques du Bitcoin (BTC)

Incitations de réallocation des fonds du marché monétaire (MMF) : de la facilité RRP aux bons du Trésor et Repos privés

Analyse de la dynamique des marchés monétaires et implications sur les métaux précieux (focus XAGUSD)

Crise imminente : la hausse du yen et le carry trade en lévitation préfigurent un effondrement boursier en 2026

Editor's Choice

Webus International, société chinoise, lance un fonds de gestion de trésorerie d’entreprise de 300 millions de dollars en XRP