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Tag: ETH

STEELLDYThrough Steelldy consulting company, I assist companies, fintechs, and institutions in two key areas: ◙ Economic and financial statistical modeling via our DaaS & SaaS software (macroeconomic index platform). Analysis of the transition to a multipolar world: stablecoins, gold, copper, precious metals, industrial metals, oil, dollars, euros, yuan, yen, rubles, CBDC, BISIH, mBridge, Unified Ledger, BRICS, and global regulations. ◙ Web3 Law & Taxation Legal and Tax structuring of blockchain-based projects, RWA, tokenization, cryptocurrency (stablecoins, CBDC), decentralized autonomous organizations (DAO), MiCA compliance, ISO 20022, AI, MANBRIC/biotech technologies, robotics, smart cities, and ESG taxonomy.

Cryptos

Range-to-regime transition / pre-FOMC event risk

Bitcoin remains a reserve asset with a structure showing recovery from $58-62k, rejection under $81-86k, and consolidation around $77k. NUPL is below euphoria, SOPR near 1 (no capitulation or aggressive distribution), and 69% of supply is in profit—enough for range-top selling but insufficient for a blow-off. Bullish invalidation: weekly close below $72k or 5 days…

7 hours ago0Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Cryptos

How a Simple Fair Value Model Anchors Crypto Portfolio Sizing: BTC, ETH, and ZEC in Focus

The framework is a two-regime Markov model with observable states, not a calibrated HMM Regime 1 (Liquidity risk-on) is indicated by positive 5-day net $BTC / $ETH ETF flows, declining $DXY, funding below 0.03% per 8 hours, and BTC above 77.1k then 81.3k. It implies overweighting ETH/ $SOL relative to BTC, with only reduced $ZEC…

1 day ago0Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Analyse de marché

Gold prices may be testing the U.S. Federal Reserve’s bluff, according to Peter Reagan

In a recent TradingView article, the question was raised whether gold could surpass $4,500 if U.S. employment data lowers expectations for a Fed rate hike in September. Perhaps the better question is why gold has become so sensitive to every hint, whisper, and eyebrow movement from the Federal Open Market Committee. Gold traded around $4,477…

2 days ago0Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Bitcoin coin resting on a dollar bill with a stock market chart on a screen behind, symbolizing cryptocurrency investment.

Cryptos

Crypto Market Shows Mixed Signals as Bitcoin Holds Below $80K Ahead of CPI and FOMC

As of September 11, 2026, the crypto market presents a mixed macro regime. Bitcoin trades near $77,200–77,400, showing a -4.7% weekly decline as it digests levels below $80,000–82,000. ETF outflows have been observed for three days. Ethereum is around $2,470–2,480 with slight daily stability but a weekly -2%, while XRP at $1.35 drops -6.6% weekly…

2 days ago0Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Detailed view of brown coffee beans being roasted in a steel machine, capturing the industrial process.

Analyse de marché

Commodities & ESG taxonomy: real returns in a world of real assets

Thesis. Raw materials are regaining a core portfolio role (hedging a multipolar world and AI electrification), while European ESG shifts from an obligation-based regime to a market-driven one, less reporting, more pricing. Key Data. January 2026 records: gold ~$5,405/oz (2025 annual average: $3,431, +44%), silver >$121/oz, LME copper $13,238/t. Citi scenarios (Q3 2026): Brent…

4 days ago0Comments

ByOleg Turceac

An elegant setup with a notebook, pen, and gold bar, embodying luxury and style.

Analyse de marché

Rising Demand for Direct Ownership of Physical Gold

The Financial Times reports a marked shift among wealthy investors toward direct ownership of physical gold and secure, individually allocated storage. In 2026, purchases by this group have surged to record levels, signaling a retreat from electronic exposure in favor of tangible assets. Industry observers highlight capacity constraints across premier vault facilities. London dealer Sharps…

From Speculative Tokens to Yield Instruments: The Revenue-Structure Paradigm in Tokenized Assets (2026–2035)

The defining shift in digital assets this decade is not a price level. It is a change in structure: from instruments whose value rests on uncertain future appreciation to instruments whose value is delivered through continuous, automated cash flows, rent, interest, coupons, distributed by code. The RWA market has quietly completed this migration in 2026,…

09/02/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Cryptos

Bitcoin ETFs Absorb $900M Inflows as Yields Jump, Testing the August Risk-On Regime

The macro regime as of September 2, 2026, shows a strong U.S. dollar (DXY at ~99.73-99.80) and rising 10-year U.S. Treasury yields (4.78-4.81%), pressuring risk assets. An oil supply shock (Brent ~$95.3, WTI ($4,290-4,325/oz) is declining due to real yields and dollar strength. A Hidden Markov Model (HMM) identifies the current regime as "Transition"…

09/02/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Detailed close-up shot of US dollar bills showing various denominations.

Analyse de marché

Macro environment: duration, dollar, oil, politics

The dominant factor in September is not an endogenous crypto narrative but a regime of real rates and geopolitical energy premiums. US 10-year yields hit ~4.76-4.78%, the highest since January 2025, while the #DXY traded around 99.45-99.50. Oil prices (WTI ~$86.5) reacted to US-Iran tensions and the Strait of Hormuz. The Fed funds target is…

09/01/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Bitcoin coin placed over US dollar note symbolizes digital vs traditional currency.

Cryptos

Dollar-backed stablecoins, neo-mercantilist regime, and energy constraints. Implications for digital assets and investment strategies

Dollar-backed stablecoins have become a dual-use instrument of U.S. economic power, extending the dollar's reach into markets where correspondent banking is weak or blocked while giving Washington new control points over issuers, reserves, and token freezes. Key data shows 90-98% of the stablecoin market is dollar-denominated, with Tether holding ~$141 billion in U.S. Treasury exposure,…

08/31/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Tag: ETH

Range-to-regime transition / pre-FOMC event risk

How a Simple Fair Value Model Anchors Crypto Portfolio Sizing: BTC, ETH, and ZEC in Focus

Gold prices may be testing the U.S. Federal Reserve’s bluff, according to Peter Reagan

Crypto Market Shows Mixed Signals as Bitcoin Holds Below $80K Ahead of CPI and FOMC

Commodities & ESG taxonomy: real returns in a world of real assets

Rising Demand for Direct Ownership of Physical Gold

From Speculative Tokens to Yield Instruments: The Revenue-Structure Paradigm in Tokenized Assets (2026–2035)

Bitcoin ETFs Absorb $900M Inflows as Yields Jump, Testing the August Risk-On Regime

Macro environment: duration, dollar, oil, politics

Dollar-backed stablecoins, neo-mercantilist regime, and energy constraints. Implications for digital assets and investment strategies

Editor's Choice

Webus International, société chinoise, lance un fonds de gestion de trésorerie d’entreprise de 300 millions de dollars en XRP