The rise in key interest rates (ECB deposit facility at 2.25% as of June 17, 2026, following a +25 bps increase) mechanically raises the nominal yield of new sovereign bonds and monetary instruments (€STR, deposits). For a hold-to-maturity investor, this generates a stable nominal carry. However, our decomposition using Steelldy Risk Engine 12.4 (factor decomposition,…
We use exclusively verifiable public data, collected and processed by our Steelldy Risk Engine 3.4 infrastructure and Bloomberg Intelligence modules:
- Treasury International Capital (TIC): Monthly and annual reports, raw and adjusted data for valuation and hedging effects, broken down by country and maturity (source: Treasury.gov).
- Official reserve flows: IMF COFER (Currency…
Uniswap’s UNI token (current price ~$3.00–3.40 post-surge, market cap ~$1.9–2.1B) experienced a +25%+ daily move on Standard Chartered’s initiation coverage with a $100 target by 2030 (from ~$2.50–2.70 base, implying ~35–40x upside). The thesis centers on tokenized Real-World Assets (RWAs) migrating on-chain, driving DeFi TVL to ~$2.7T (37x expansion) and Uniswap capturing dominant DEX liquidity/trading…
While the BoJ’s 25 bps hike to 1.0% (highest since 1995) keeps the yen carry transmission channel active but damped, real risks to BTC increasingly reside elsewhere: a maturing macro slowdown (US Q1 2026 GDP +1.6% annualized, Eurozone ~0.8% projected for 2026), volatile Bitcoin ETF flows (recent outflows amid cumulative ~$54B+ inflows since launch but…
The convergence of physical, behavioral, and microstructural signals confirms that Europe, and particularly France, has entered a regime of asynchronous systemic energy shortage. The three pillars of the breakdown:
(a) Physical Pillar. The Strait of Hormuz has been practically blocked since February 28, 2026: more than 20% of global oil traffic and 25% of…
Accord UE sur l'euro numérique - 19 septembre 2025 Les ministres des finances de l'UE ont effectivement trouvé un "compromis" vendredi 19 septembre 2025 sur la feuille de route de l'euro numérique, visant à créer une alternative aux systèmes Visa et Mastercard. Stablecoin euro sur XRP Ledger - confirmé Cassie Craddock, directrice générale de…
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