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lntélligence artificielle

IA Supercycle CapEx. Stochastic Regime Modeling, Real Options Valuation, and Material Supply Chain Disruption

The statement by the IMF Managing Director, Kristalina Georgieva, that AI-related infrastructure now captures more than 10% of global merchandise trade, and that global AI investment (as a % of GDP) will reach and likely exceed historically allocated levels for railways, power grids, and telecommunications, marks a macroeconomic regime shift of a magnitude equivalent to…
16 hours ago0Comments

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A collection of shining gold bars and coins symbolizing wealth and investment.
Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché

Why Diesel Prices Are the Real Story and What They Mean for Gold Investors

The Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates by another 25 basis points has drawn market attention, with 10-year Treasury yields exceeding 5%. However, Laurent Morel believe investors are overemphasizing the Fed's actions. While central banks can influence demand through borrowing costs, they cannot address physical supply constraints, no rate hike can produce an extra…
09/22/20260Comments

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Focused image of 100g Intergold bars showcasing fine gold quality and luxury.
Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché

Gold’s +125% Surge Since 2023 Defies Rate Hikes: Fed’s First 2026 Increase Triggers “Buy the Fact” Rebound Toward $4,344

Summary. Quantitative Analysis of Gold Performance (+123% Since September 2023) and 2026-2027 Projections Post-Fed Decision A. Executive Summary. Gold spot price (Sept 18, 2026): $4,344.67, consolidating post-Fed. - Performance since Sept 2023: +125%, indicating a structural bull market. - Fed decision (Sept 16, 2026): Raised rates by 25 bps to 3.75-4.00%, the first hike since…
09/18/20260Comments

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Stock market and financial analysis setup with calculator, graphs, and gold coins.
Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché

Why Gold Is Hitting Record Highs Despite Higher Interest Rates

The structural relationship between gold and US real rates has broken since 2022. Previously, gold moved inversely to real rates; now, gold reaches all-time highs despite elevated real rates (~2.0%). Central banks from emerging markets have structurally increased gold purchases to ~1,000 tonnes/year (2022-2024), up from ~500 tonnes, shifting away from dollar reserves. This creates…
09/18/20260Comments

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Bitcoin coin placed over US dollar note symbolizes digital vs traditional currency.
Cryptos

Dollar-backed stablecoins, neo-mercantilist regime, and energy constraints. Implications for digital assets and investment strategies

Dollar-backed stablecoins have become a dual-use instrument of U.S. economic power, extending the dollar's reach into markets where correspondent banking is weak or blocked while giving Washington new control points over issuers, reserves, and token freezes. Key data shows 90-98% of the stablecoin market is dollar-denominated, with Tether holding ~$141 billion in U.S. Treasury exposure,…
08/31/20260Comments

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