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Tag: DXY

STEELLDYThrough Steelldy consulting company, I assist companies, fintechs, and institutions in two key areas: ◙ Economic and financial statistical modeling via our DaaS & SaaS software (macroeconomic index platform). Analysis of the transition to a multipolar world: stablecoins, gold, copper, precious metals, industrial metals, oil, dollars, euros, yuan, yen, rubles, CBDC, BISIH, mBridge, Unified Ledger, BRICS, and global regulations. ◙ Web3 Law & Taxation Legal and Tax structuring of blockchain-based projects, RWA, tokenization, cryptocurrency (stablecoins, CBDC), decentralized autonomous organizations (DAO), MiCA compliance, ISO 20022, AI, MANBRIC/biotech technologies, robotics, smart cities, and ESG taxonomy.

Gold coins scattered with a stock market graph and a percentage symbol on an orange background.

Analyse de marché

Markets

Why Gold’s Low Sharpe Ratio Masks Its True Value as a Strategic Tail-Risk Hedge

Gold (Sharpe 0.4-0.7, Volatility 12-15%) acts as a reserve asset, inversely correlated with the DXY. Its low Sharpe ratio is due to no carry yield and custody costs, but it offers absolute decorrelation during systemic geopolitical shocks. Physical gold is now central to monetary influence wars (BIS Basel 2024-2025). Steelldy Engine 3.8 and Planet Labs…

08/16/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Close-up of Canadian coins in a monochrome color scheme, depicting wealth and currency.

Markets

Silver Tumbles 3.8% as Dual Demand Crumbles Under Hawkish Fed Pressure

https://www.steelldy-indices.com Silver experienced a notable decline on July 13, 2026, dropping by 3.8%, surpassing gold’s decrease of 2.9% on the same day. This divergence pushed the gold-to-silver ratio to an elevated level of 69.4. Far from being an isolated event, this relative underperformance highlights silver’s unique dual character | as both a monetary asset and…

COMEX Silver Inventory Crunch Intensifies. July Deliveries Devour 31% of Registered Stock

https://www.steelldy-indices.com Silver (XAG) is undergoing a severe correction phase since its peak in January 2026 (~$120/oz) down to current levels of $58 (Western spot) and $64.79 (Shanghai). This 52% retracement reflects a conflict between strong physical fundamentals (green industrial demand, COMEX inventories under pressure) and macroeconomic headwinds (hawkish Fed, strong dollar, Iran ceasefire). Data…

Gold vs. Dollar and Copper. Key Patterns Pointing to a Potential Upside Breakout

https://www.steelldy-indices.com This week, Mike Roy reviewed two important ratio charts that help understand gold's position in its long-term bull market and where it may head next. The first chart is the crucial long-term gold/DXY ratio. DXY itself is a ratio chart measuring the relative strength of the U.S. dollar against a basket of major…

The risk of a Japanese shock on precious metals

The remarks by Diet member Nagahama in favor of a Bank of Japan rate hike to correct the excessive weakness of the yen, combined with the widening divergence between the rise in JGB yields and the inertia of USD/JPY, place Japan on the brink of a macro-financial shift of historic magnitude. Our multi-layered analytical architecture…

07/06/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Cryptos

BoJ Rate Hike Weakens Yen transmission, Damping Bitcoin Volatility

The transmission mechanism Yen strength → USD/JPY depreciation → yen carry trade deleveraging → global liquidity contraction → BTC risk-asset beta spike (~2–3x) remains empirically robust. However, it is significantly attenuated following the BoJ’s fully delivered and well-telegraphed 25 bps hike to 1.0% (highest since 1995) on 16 June 2026. Speculative net-short JPY positions elevated…

06/17/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Smartphone displaying trading app with Bitcoin coins on a dark surface.

Cryptos

Bitcoin Struggles Near $66,000 Amidst Extreme Fear: What’s Next?

Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) trades at approximately $65,400–66,000, down ~0.8% in the observed session, within a recent consolidation range post a relief bounce from sub-$60k lows earlier in June 2026. The provided chart confirms a 1H/4H structure with MA5/10/20 clustering near $66,200–66,300, recent rejection at $67,255 highs, and downside probe the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone around…

06/17/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Two gold bars rest on a pile of US dollar bills, symbolizing wealth and prosperity.

Analyse de marché

Inflation Surge Crushes Gold & Silver Amidst Geopolitical Turbulence

Gold prices have plummeted, trading near $4,078.00, down 4.26%, and silver near $63.605, down 2.66%, following Wednesday's trading close. This decline is attributed to a higher-than-expected May inflation report, rising Treasury yields, and escalating US-Iran tensions, which have overshadowed demand for safe-haven assets. US consumer prices rose 0.5% in May and 4.2% year-on-year, with core…

06/11/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Analyse de marché

Cartel collapse and depressive supply shock. The withdrawal of Saudi Arabia and the UAE of OPEC/OPEC+

The simultaneous withdrawal declaration of Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates from OPEC and OPEC+ (April 28-29, 2026) constitutes the most severe institutional rupture in the oil market since 1985-1986. This study demonstrates that this exit is not a purely bearish signal but rather the prelude to a two-speed structural dislocation: …

04/30/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Cryptos

Structural decoupling dynamics between Bitcoin and NASDAQ. Short Squeeze opportunity on low Floats

The macroeconomic context of April 2026 is marked by persistent monetary uncertainty, with the 10-year US rate at 4.38% weighing on tech and crypto valuations. A strong dollar (DXY at 104.2) is draining liquidity from emerging and risky markets. The VIX, at 28.4 (+12%), signals a high but manageable risk premium. On the geopolitical front,…

04/30/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac