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Tag: COT

STEELLDYThrough Steelldy consulting company, I assist companies, fintechs, and institutions in two key areas: ◙ Economic and financial statistical modeling via our DaaS & SaaS software (macroeconomic index platform). Analysis of the transition to a multipolar world: stablecoins, gold, copper, precious metals, industrial metals, oil, dollars, euros, yuan, yen, rubles, CBDC, BISIH, mBridge, Unified Ledger, BRICS, and global regulations. ◙ Web3 Law & Taxation Legal and Tax structuring of blockchain-based projects, RWA, tokenization, cryptocurrency (stablecoins, CBDC), decentralized autonomous organizations (DAO), MiCA compliance, ISO 20022, AI, MANBRIC/biotech technologies, robotics, smart cities, and ESG taxonomy.

Open briefcase filled with stacks of hundred dollar bills on a glass table, representing wealth.

En chiffres

4th Generation Tech Family Offices

A structural definition of a Single Family Office Type IV, Tech Founder is provided, based on the WEF Davos 2024 Family Office Report and BIS Basel Private Wealth Statistics 2025. This SFO Tech is distinguished from a traditional SFO by three parameters: the founder's residual stake in the original company (over 15% of net worth),…

2 days ago0Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Cryptos

Crypto Duration Under Siege: Why Hot Inflation Holds the Key to BTC, ETH, SOL, and XRP

Three macro variables dominate the pricing of five crypto assets today. The August CPI, released on September 11, is the last inflation print before the FOMC. A "hot" print raises perceived r* and compresses crypto duration, while a disinflationary print reopens the hold scenario. The FOMC meeting on September 15-16 has hike probabilities of…

2 days ago0Comments

ByOleg Turceac

A collection of various cryptocurrency coins including Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin.

Cryptos

Stablecoins & CBDC: the programmable currency war enters its terminal phase

Thesis. 2026 marks the global doctrinal shift. Private-regulated dollar (GENIUS Act), public-regulated euro (ECB), public-interest-bearing yuan (PBOC). Stablecoins become a treasury instrument; CBDCs become a sovereignty instrument. Key Data. Stablecoin market: ~$290–321B (USDT ~$184–190B; USDC ~$73B). MiCA: fully applicable since 30/12/2024, transition period ends 01/07/2026; approximately twenty licensed EMTs (USDC, USDG, EURC, EURCV, EURI,…

2 days ago0Comments

ByOleg Turceac

A collection of shining gold bars and coins symbolizing wealth and investment.

Analyse de marché

Structural Shifts in Central Bank Demand Are Redefining Gold’s Support Levels

According to Société Générale, the time has come to view gold optimistically again, as they observe a gradual recovery after months of correction. In a recent market assessment, analysts stated the precious metal looks attractive again, despite trimming their gold positions in the first half of the year. Gold recently rebounded to around $2,450 after…

09/04/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Legal and tax studies

Fraude moldave : le rôle technique des banques russes dans le mécanisme du ” milliard volé”

Les trois banques russes Gazprombank, Alef Bank et Interprombank (Алеф-Банк, АКБ «ИНТЕРПРОМБАНК» и Газпромбанк) n’ont pas "volé" le milliard moldave, mais elles ont facilité techniquement le mécanisme de fraude en fournissant des dépôts overnight (dépôts à vue d’un jour, sans intérêt) aux trois banques moldaves impliquées (Banca de Economii, Unibank, Banca Socială), ce qui a…

09/03/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Cryptos

Crypto Quartet Risk Map: How BTC, ETH, XRP, and SOL React to a Hawkish Fed Shift

1.1 Bitcoin. Core Collateral, Not an Alt Price sits below the self-custody cost basis shelf (~$80.8k) and under the Glassnode band ($81–86k), where negative gamma dealers appear around $82.3k, short squeezes cluster up to $86k, and LTH supply converges at $83–86k. CryptoQuant’s Bull Score hits 80, a high since Oct. 2025, indicating spot and futures…

08/30/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Detailed view of fiber optic patch cables connecting to a blue patch panel in a data center.

lntélligence artificielle

Private credit funds face elevated risks in 2026 from two distinct but overlapping AI-related channels

Private credit funds face significant 2026 risks from two AI-related channels: disruption to software borrowers and demand shortfalls in AI infrastructure. These are compounded by liquidity mismatches, sector concentration, and ties to insurers and pensions. Non-bank direct lending, via vehicles like BDCs, has heavily expanded into both areas, heightening vulnerability. Two Primary AI-Related Risk…

08/22/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Abstract illustration of AI with silhouette head full of eyes, symbolizing observation and technology.

lntélligence artificielle

The correlation of AI in the credit architecture

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY. QUANTITATIVE FINANCE Contagion in AI financing cannot be understood through valuation levels or even growth rates. It is grasped through the counterparty dependency structure and the second derivative of infrastructure spending. Our cross-analysis shows: ¤ The central risk is not the disappearance of AI demand, but the existence of a…

08/22/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Digitalisation

Analysis of regulatory obstacles regarding X Money

X Money, operated by X Payments LLC, is not a bank but a licensed money transmitter. It partners with Cross River Bank for deposits and banking services. While many state licensing barriers are cleared, it faces ongoing scrutiny of its banking partner, political and consumer-protection pressures, and structural risks from its social-media integration and Banking-as-a-Service…

08/20/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Flat lay of various cryptocurrency coins on white background, showcasing digital currency concept.

Cryptos

137 Countries, One Question. Measuring the CBDC Race Before the Settlement Reset

Central bank digital currencies have a communication problem. Every central bank publishes pilots, speeches and consultation papers, an endless stream of qualitative noise from which it is nearly impossible to extract the only question that matters for markets: who is actually going to ship, and how fast? The count is no longer small. 137 countries…

08/19/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Tag: COT

4th Generation Tech Family Offices

Crypto Duration Under Siege: Why Hot Inflation Holds the Key to BTC, ETH, SOL, and XRP

Stablecoins & CBDC: the programmable currency war enters its terminal phase

Structural Shifts in Central Bank Demand Are Redefining Gold’s Support Levels

Fraude moldave : le rôle technique des banques russes dans le mécanisme du ” milliard volé”

Crypto Quartet Risk Map: How BTC, ETH, XRP, and SOL React to a Hawkish Fed Shift

Private credit funds face elevated risks in 2026 from two distinct but overlapping AI-related channels

The correlation of AI in the credit architecture

Analysis of regulatory obstacles regarding X Money

137 Countries, One Question. Measuring the CBDC Race Before the Settlement Reset

Editor's Choice

Webus International, société chinoise, lance un fonds de gestion de trésorerie d’entreprise de 300 millions de dollars en XRP