Skip to content Skip to sidebar Skip to footer

Tag: COMEX

STEELLDYThrough Steelldy consulting company, I assist companies, fintechs, and institutions in two key areas: ◙ Economic and financial statistical modeling via our DaaS & SaaS software (macroeconomic index platform). Analysis of the transition to a multipolar world: stablecoins, gold, copper, precious metals, industrial metals, oil, dollars, euros, yuan, yen, rubles, CBDC, BISIH, mBridge, Unified Ledger, BRICS, and global regulations. ◙ Web3 Law & Taxation Legal and Tax structuring of blockchain-based projects, RWA, tokenization, cryptocurrency (stablecoins, CBDC), decentralized autonomous organizations (DAO), MiCA compliance, ISO 20022, AI, MANBRIC/biotech technologies, robotics, smart cities, and ESG taxonomy.

Detailed view of the US 100 dollar bill showing the Treasury seal and printed text.

Real Yields on US Treasuries Collapse Below 1.2 %

Since the end of 2021, the 10-year yield has risen from ~1.5% to a peak of ~5% in autumn 2023, then stabilized around 4.6%. With a CPI at 3.5%, the real rate is: r = i - π = 4.6% - 3.5% = 1.1% Osaic has already reduced its fixed-income allocation from 40% to…

07/31/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Close-up view of the iconic United States Capitol dome with American flag in Washington, D.C.

Analyse de marché

Markets

Revaluation of official US gold, balance sheet monetization, and quantifiable implications

The US official gold reserves stand at 261,498,926 troy ounces (8,133.5 metric tons), valued at $42.2222 per ounce under the 1973 statute, totaling $11.041 billion. Market value at mid-July 2026 spot prices (~$4,050–4,130/oz) is approximately $1.06–1.08 trillion. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent confirmed in July 2026 that all gold is accounted for, valuing over $1 trillion…

Decline of Sovereign Bonds as a Safe-Haven Asset and Rotation Toward Gold

Summary: Since 2021, the US bond market has experienced upward pressure on yields, with the stock-bond correlation turning positive. Several institutions (Morgan Stanley, Osaic, Sagard) have officially reduced their allocation to fixed income in favor of gold and real assets. This study models this regime change using a two-state HMM, GARCH volatility, and a Merton…

Gold Projected to Reach $5,000

https://www.steelldy-indices.com Aakash Doshi (State Street) predicts that gold's next $1,000 move will be upward, with consolidation around $4,000 before expanding to $4,750–$5,500. This forecast aligns perfectly with our proprietary quantitative models. By integrating market data, institutional flows, and geopolitical signals through M. Theory 4.2 and leveraging Steelldy Risk Engine 12.4 and Quantum-Classical Hybrid 1.0 on…

07/30/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

A close-up image of various world coins in a pile, highlighting different currencies.

Economic studies Reports

War, Hidden Inflation, and the Role of Gold and Silver as Monetary Anchors

https://www.steelldy-indices.com/https://www.steelldy-indices.com The persistence of armed conflicts (Ukraine, Iran, tensions in Asia) and disruptions in energy supply, analyzed in our previous articles (ST-0726-IRAN-GOLD, ST-0727-CHINA-GOLD), validate a fundamental premise of quantitative finance: wars are the primary driver of debt monetization and hidden inflation that erodes savers' wealth. Faced with a deficit in traditional financing (tax collection, bond…

Chinese Restrictions on Paper Gold Trading

https://www.steelldy-indices.com The decision of several major Chinese banks (ICBC, Ping An, China Guangfa) to suspend precious metals trading services linked to the Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGE) for individuals, by drastically raising margin requirements to 140%, is not a simple prudential adjustment. Analyzed through M. Theory 4.2 and the Steelldy 3.8 graph engine, this measure…

COMEX Silver Inventory Crunch Intensifies. July Deliveries Devour 31% of Registered Stock

https://www.steelldy-indices.com Silver (XAG) is undergoing a severe correction phase since its peak in January 2026 (~$120/oz) down to current levels of $58 (Western spot) and $64.79 (Shanghai). This 52% retracement reflects a conflict between strong physical fundamentals (green industrial demand, COMEX inventories under pressure) and macroeconomic headwinds (hawkish Fed, strong dollar, Iran ceasefire). Data…

Is Gold’s Bull Market Alive? China’s Soaring Imports Say Yes, Charts Say No

According to Brian Lundin, while the West sets gold prices, China is buying it up. While news headlines continue to confirm my skepticism about any peace agreement between the US and Iran, bulls in the metals markets feel like they are being punished for something. https://www.steelldy-indices.com While other "risk assets" are rising, gold and…

07/06/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

SpaceX Dragon spacecraft in orbit, highlighting advanced space technology with cloud backdrop.

Analyse de marché

Liquidity Trap Scenario : Gold < $4,150, Oil ~$88 Stabilization – Integration with SpaceX IPO Retail Influx and Systemic Market Crash Risks

Executive Summary The posited Liquidity Trap manifests as a regime where elevated nominal asset prices (gold near recent highs, equities at stretched valuations) coincide with forced liquidations driven by margin calls, collateral constraints, and retail FOMO entry, without corresponding real-economy liquidity expansion. Under conditions of gold stabilizing below $4,150/oz and WTI/Brent oil around $88/bbl (current…

06/11/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Analyse de marché

Étude de la dislocation du “basis” or numérique vs or spot. Diagnostic de rupture de la parité et inférence de prix réel

Peter Reagan a noté qu'en début de semaine, les tokens d'or numérique se négociaient au-dessus de 5 500 dollars l'once, selon la cryptomonnaie spécifique. ... à propos de l'or numérique Il se trouve que j'ai vu le prix de l'or tokenisé avant le prix au comptant aujourd'hui. Et je me suis dit : L'or est-il…

03/06/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Tag: COMEX

Real Yields on US Treasuries Collapse Below 1.2 %

Revaluation of official US gold, balance sheet monetization, and quantifiable implications

Decline of Sovereign Bonds as a Safe-Haven Asset and Rotation Toward Gold

Gold Projected to Reach $5,000

War, Hidden Inflation, and the Role of Gold and Silver as Monetary Anchors

COMEX Silver Inventory Crunch Intensifies. July Deliveries Devour 31% of Registered Stock

Is Gold’s Bull Market Alive? China’s Soaring Imports Say Yes, Charts Say No

Liquidity Trap Scenario : Gold < $4,150, Oil ~$88 Stabilization – Integration with SpaceX IPO Retail Influx and Systemic Market Crash Risks

Étude de la dislocation du “basis” or numérique vs or spot. Diagnostic de rupture de la parité et inférence de prix réel

Editor's Choice

Webus International, société chinoise, lance un fonds de gestion de trésorerie d’entreprise de 300 millions de dollars en XRP