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Tag: cash flows

Chipflation: How AI is Reshaping Global Economics and Investment Landscapes

Abstract The emergence of artificial intelligence as a transformative economic force has catalyzed an unprecedented surge in demand for semiconductor components, creating a phenomenon economists are beginning to term "chipflation." This technical analysis examines the multifaceted impact of AI-driven chip demand on global inflation, market dynamics, and investment opportunities across the semiconductor ecosystem. Through quantitative…

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The Illusion of Liquidity in « Continuation Deals » and the Dynamics of Refinanced Liabilities. Why Private Credit Firms Are Selling $15bn in Debt to Themselves

The explosion of "Continuation Deals" (rising from $4 billion to $15 billion between 2024 and 2025) signals a break in Private Credit, not healthy innovation. These "self-dealing" transactions transfer credit and duration risk from mature funds to new investors without creating real economic value, masking the deterioration of the underlying assets. As seen by our…

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