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JPMorgan's note from July 9, 2026 identifies a structural threat to Bitcoin and public cryptocurrencies: the rapid expansion of private and permissioned blockchains driven by commercial banks (Kinexys, JPM Coin, tokenized deposits, CBDCs). This trend, supported by settlement volumes exceeding $4 trillion on Kinexys, could siphon institutional demand for public digital assets by offering…
The immediate context involves an analysis of the New Zealand discretionary trust, Trust O|...|, focusing on the seizability of distributions and a villa in Vésenaz, financed by trust distributions. The central legal framework includes Articles 17 and 18 of the Swiss Private International Law Act, the 1985 Hague Convention, and Swiss confiscation law. The analysis…
We use exclusively verifiable public data, collected and processed by our Steelldy Risk Engine 3.4 infrastructure and Bloomberg Intelligence modules:
- Treasury International Capital (TIC): Monthly and annual reports, raw and adjusted data for valuation and hedging effects, broken down by country and maturity (source: Treasury.gov).
- Official reserve flows: IMF COFER (Currency…
Synthetic carbon credit tokens provide derivative exposure to carbon markets (e.g., ICE EUA, voluntary indices) via futures, total return swaps, or oracle-replicated performance, without physical custody or retirement of underlying credits. This delivers operational efficiency (fractionalization, 24/7 liquidity, reduced verification costs) but introduces material counterparty risk (issuer solvency/fulfillment), basis/tracking error risk (deviation from reference index…
Uniswap (UNI) has re-emerged with renewed institutional narrative momentum following Standard Chartered’s 15 June 2026 initiation of coverage, targeting $100 by end-2030 (~35–40x from ~$2.50–2.70 base; staged path: $6.50 EOY2026, $20 2027, $40 2028, $65 2029). The thesis hinges on tokenized Real-World Assets (RWAs) driving DeFi TVL to ~$2.7T (37x expansion) and Uniswap capturing dominant…
Uniswap’s UNI token (current price ~$3.00–3.40 post-surge, market cap ~$1.9–2.1B) experienced a +25%+ daily move on Standard Chartered’s initiation coverage with a $100 target by 2030 (from ~$2.50–2.70 base, implying ~35–40x upside). The thesis centers on tokenized Real-World Assets (RWAs) migrating on-chain, driving DeFi TVL to ~$2.7T (37x expansion) and Uniswap capturing dominant DEX liquidity/trading…
Executive Summary
Transition risks under 2°C pathways (IEA NZE/APS equivalents) drive structural demand destruction for refined products, compressing refining margins via volume contraction, utilization drops, and policy/carbon cost overlays. Carbon Tracker’s foundational 2017 “Margin Call” analysis projected >50% EBITDA decline by 2035 for ~94% of global capacity under a 2D scenario (oil demand -23%…
1. Carbon Pricing Framework: Explicit (EU ETS) vs. Implicit/Internal Shadow Pricing
TotalEnergies employs an internal carbon price (ICP)1 or shadow price in its project evaluations and asset impairment testing. Currently, its base case includes a minimum price of $100/tCO₂ (or higher jurisdictional prices) starting in 2023, with a 2% annual increase after 2030.
Sensitivity…
Executive Summary
The 3:2:1 crack spread serves as a primary proxy for gross refining margins, calculated as:
3:2:1 Crack Spread=2×PGasoline (bbl)+1×PDistillate/Heating Oil (bbl)−3×PCrude (bbl)3\text{3:2:1 Crack Spread} = \frac{2 \times P_{\text{Gasoline (bbl)}} + 1 \times P_{\text{Distillate/Heating Oil (bbl)}} - 3 \times P_{\text{Crude (bbl)}}}{3}
where prices are typically futures-settled (e.g., WTI/RBOB/NYH HO for USGC benchmarks; Brent equivalents or regional baskets for Europe).…
CCQI index and characterization of TCMs: Tracking Tokenization of RWAs and Carbon Credits
1.1 Methodology for the STEELLDY CCQI (Climate Credit Quality Index)
1.1.1 Definition and Objectives of the Index: Carbon Credit Quality Benchmark for the Voluntary Market
The Climate Credit Quality Index (CCQI), developed by STEELLDY, is a proprietary benchmark for the quality of…
Analyse de marché
Carbon Credit Market