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Silver (XAG) is undergoing a severe correction phase since its peak in January 2026 (~$120/oz) down to current levels of $58 (Western spot) and $64.79 (Shanghai). This 52% retracement reflects a conflict between strong physical fundamentals (green industrial demand, COMEX inventories under pressure) and macroeconomic headwinds (hawkish Fed, strong dollar, Iran ceasefire). Data…
Executive Summary
Transition risks under 2°C pathways (IEA NZE/APS equivalents) drive structural demand destruction for refined products, compressing refining margins via volume contraction, utilization drops, and policy/carbon cost overlays. Carbon Tracker’s foundational 2017 “Margin Call” analysis projected >50% EBITDA decline by 2035 for ~94% of global capacity under a 2D scenario (oil demand -23%…
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