Skip to content Skip to sidebar Skip to footer

Tag: AI Bubble

Colorful 3D render showcasing AI and programming with reflective abstract visuals.

AI Demand, HBM Breakthroughs, and Credit Risks: The Trio Driving Memory Market Dynamics

https://www.steelldy-indices.com This article applies the tools of game theory to the strategic analysis of the global memory oligopoly. By modeling the interactions between Micron, Samsung, and SK Hynix as a three-player dynamic game, we identify Nash equilibria, potential tipping points, and the probabilities associated with each strategic scenario. This formal approach complements the quantitative models…

Read more

La métamorphose du cycle IA : de la bulle à la systémique

SYNTHÈSE EXÉCUTIVE : LA MORT DU PARADIGME BULLE/NON-BULLE L'annonce d'OpenAI d'investissements massifs ($1.4T/30GW d'ici fin 2025) a définitivement anéanti le débat bulle/non-bulle, instaurant un régime d'interdépendance critique. Ce "Sam's Spending" est un point d'inflexion structurel majeur. Le changement de paradigme est noté très haut, avec une forte probabilité de permanence. Trois méta-transformations sont observées…

Read more

Liquidity, AI, and the Debt Crisis: How De-dollarization Fuels the Speculative Bubble

This analysis causally links macro-geopolitics (de-dollarization) to micro-speculation (AI bubble) and our investment thesis (Fed Pivot). The analysis of the text and image (de-dollarization) confirms that the financial environment is not stable, but its fragility is the driver of our opportunity. MACRO & FINANCIAL ANALYSIS: DEDOLLARIZATION, DRIVER OF THE AI PIVOT AND BUBBLE …

Read more

US stock market valuations (SPX) have exceeded the extremes of 1929 and 1999 by 20 to 30% on critical measures such as the Shiller Ratio (CAPE) and Market Capitalization/GDP

I. MACRO DIAGNOSIS: THE EUPHORIA BUBBLE IS QUANTIFIED The chart and data confirm that the phrase "this time it's different" is, as historian Kindleberger documented, the peak signal of a speculative mania. 1. The Shiller Indicator (CAPE): The Sword of Damocles • The Fact: The CAPE ratio (Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio) is…

Read more