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Detailed close-up of gold bars and coins symbolizing wealth and investment opportunities.
Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché MarketsMarkets
Gold Dips Below $4,000 on Fed Hawkishness, but Heraeus Sees Support from Easing Inflation Expectation
According to precious metals market analysts at Heraeus, gold and silver prices are expected to rise soon due to declining oil prices, which ease inflation expectations and reduce bond yields, while developments in the Pacific region suggest a potential shift of the gold market's center of gravity to the East. In their latest review, analysts…
06/30/20260Comments
Iconic Euro sculpture with modern skyscrapers in Frankfurt, Germany showcasing the financial district.
Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché MarketsMarkets
Continued rate hikes. ECB towards 3.75%. Fed towards 5.75% by end of 2026
These projections come from a complete hybrid Monte Carlo simulation (incorporating coupled stochastic processes, embedded HMM regime-switching, an affine term structure for rates, and Poisson jumps for geopolitical shocks), calibrated on Steelldy Risk Engine 12.4 data (backtests 1971-2026), ECB staff projections from June 2026, and current macro flows (Bund 10Y ≈ 2.86-2.90%, ECB deposit rate…
06/26/20260Comments
Dynamic forex trading concept with currency symbols and candlestick chart illuminated on screen.
Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché MarketsMarkets
Monetary illusion amid rising interest rates against persistent inflationary risks
The rise in key interest rates (ECB deposit facility at 2.25% as of June 17, 2026, following a +25 bps increase) mechanically raises the nominal yield of new sovereign bonds and monetary instruments (€STR, deposits). For a hold-to-maturity investor, this generates a stable nominal carry. However, our decomposition using Steelldy Risk Engine 12.4 (factor decomposition,…
06/26/20260Comments
Close-up of gold bars on Thai baht banknotes, symbolizing wealth and prosperity.
Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché MarketsMarkets
Gold vs. Bonds: As Central Banks Hike Rates, Investors Ditch the Yellow Metal for Yield
Gold is currently weakening despite inflation, due to several key factors. In May, Germany’s inflation rate was surprisingly moderate at 2.6% annually, significantly lower than the eurozone’s 3.2%. This deviation from the European trend was primarily driven by a temporary fuel subsidy introduced by the German government, which reduced gasoline and diesel prices. However, this…
06/26/20260Comments
From above ten dollar banknote with inscription and United States treasury building placed on table
Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché MarketsMarkets
Foreign state and institutional holdings of US Treasuries since the escalation of the Iranian conflict
We use exclusively verifiable public data, collected and processed by our Steelldy Risk Engine 3.4 infrastructure and Bloomberg Intelligence modules: - Treasury International Capital (TIC): Monthly and annual reports, raw and adjusted data for valuation and hedging effects, broken down by country and maturity (source: Treasury.gov). - Official reserve flows: IMF COFER (Currency…
06/25/20260Comments
Cryptos Tech
Formalization, calibration, and integration of PII 1.0 into a risk framework for stablecoin transparency, per BIS June 23, 2026 alert
The press release from the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) acknowledges that the transparency of stablecoin ledgers exposes bank positions to the entire market, dismantling the historical information asymmetry. To quantify this phenomenon and guide investment decisions as well as technological deployment, we have constructed the Proprietary Integrity Index 1.0 (PII 1.0), a normalized composite…
06/25/20260Comments