Analyse de marché
The ratio of U.S. government debt to GDP has reached 100%, a milestone not seen since World War II. According to a new Government Accountability Office (GAO) report, the federal debt held by the public has equaled the nation’s total economic output. Analysts warn that without immediate policy changes, debt will continue to outpace the economy for decades. The debt now stands at $31.3 trillion, contrasting with internal government borrowings and marking a first since WWII when it hit 100% of GDP (approx. $30.8 trillion in 2025). Unlike the post-war period, today’s debt arises during peacetime, driven by structural fiscal imbalances like persistent deficits, rising interest payments (nearly $1 trillion annually), and mandatory spending on programs like Social Security and Medicare ($4.2 trillion in 2025, or 60% of federal expenses). If unchanged, GAO projects debt could reach 250% of GDP in 30 years, leading to slower growth, market instability, and higher borrowing costs.
https://www.steelldy-indices.com
How the world’s largest investors are reacting. Investors naturally feel that they have little control over Washington’s fiscal trajectory, but that doesn’t mean they should remain fully exposed to its long-term consequences. The world is already adapting to the changing fiscal landscape, and this shift is examined in more detail in the context of a “dollar reversal” in 2026. Central banks are buying physical gold at record levels, and this precious metal has surpassed the dollar in its share of reserve assets. Even some major financial institutions have begun recommending increased investments in gold, leading to the emergence of a 60/20/20 portfolio.
