Quantitative modeling assesses AI infrastructure risks through several methods. A Monte Carlo simulation of 100,000 trajectories over 24 months, using expansion and disillusionment drifts of 15% and −25%, volatilities of 20% and 45%, a monthly jump probability of 3%, and normally distributed jumps with mean −35% and standard deviation 10%, yields cumulative losses at the…
The restructuring of the global economy to finance the AI capital shortfall rests on recycling Asian savings, mobilizing new investors, and transforming cash flows into investable assets.
First, the AI boom generates liquidity in South Korea and Taiwan, part of which flows into dollar-denominated assets and indirectly supports investment by US hyperscalers. Taiwan’s current…
La combinaison de la rareté des actifs, de la pénurie de logements, de la concentration du capital, de la volatilité des revenus liés à l’IA, des paiements récurrents et des infrastructures numériques produira une économie où les actifs rares conserveront une valeur considérable, tandis que leur propriété restera concentrée et leur accès sera de plus…