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Digital art showcasing a 3D abstraction of golden floating cubes with a soft blurred background.
Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché MarketsMarkets

Gold Projected to Reach $5,000

https://www.steelldy-indices.com Aakash Doshi (State Street) predicts that gold's next $1,000 move will be upward, with consolidation around $4,000 before expanding to $4,750–$5,500. This forecast aligns perfectly with our proprietary quantitative models. By integrating market data, institutional flows, and geopolitical signals through M. Theory 4.2 and leveraging Steelldy Risk Engine 12.4 and Quantum-Classical Hybrid 1.0 on…
07/30/20260Comments

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A close-up image of various world coins in a pile, highlighting different currencies.
Economic studies Reports

War, Hidden Inflation, and the Role of Gold and Silver as Monetary Anchors

https://www.steelldy-indices.com/https://www.steelldy-indices.com The persistence of armed conflicts (Ukraine, Iran, tensions in Asia) and disruptions in energy supply, analyzed in our previous articles (ST-0726-IRAN-GOLD, ST-0727-CHINA-GOLD), validate a fundamental premise of quantitative finance: wars are the primary driver of debt monetization and hidden inflation that erodes savers' wealth. Faced with a deficit in traditional financing (tax collection, bond…
07/28/20260Comments

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Illuminated Türkiye İş Bankası building in Ankara, Türkiye at night with vehicle motion blur.
Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché MarketsMarkets

Gold Holds Near $4,100 as Geopolitical Pause Eases Sovereign Selling Pressure

https://www.steelldy-indices.com Current gold price is around $4,100-4,103/oz, with a neutral-to-bullish short-term stance but an intact seller regime risk. The divergence alert between the model and Polymarket is not triggered. Semantic NLP shows a "gold distrust" score of 0.48 (down from 0.62), with dominant themes being the Fed decision, US-Iran pause, oil easing, and PBOC purchases.…
07/27/20260Comments

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Toy soldiers and Iran flag on a world map symbolizing geopolitical tensions.
Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché MarketsMarkets

How the War with Iran Is Shaking Central Bank Confidence in Gold Reserves

https://www.steelldy-indices.com The Iran-United States war, triggered in Q1 2026, introduced a second-order exogenous shock to the gold market, destabilizing the strongest pillar of the decade-long bull run: central bank demand. The announcement of the suspension of gold sales by the Azerbaijani sovereign wealth fund (SOFAZ), forced sales by Turkey and Russia, and the contraction of…
07/24/20260Comments

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MarketsMarkets

The China Dimension : The Great treasury Unwind (2013-2026)

Historical Context: The Great Treasury Unwind China's US Treasury holdings have undergone 'systematic liquidation' over 12+ years: PeriodHoldings ($B)Δ vs PeakDriversMarket ImpactNov 2013 (Peak)$1,320—Accumulation phase: China recycles trade surplus into TreasuriesNone (buying)2014-2016$1,250-5.3%First diversification: Silk Road infrastructure, A-shares supportMinimal2017-2019$1,120-15.2%Trade War I: Trump tariffs, retaliation via Treasury sales10Y yield +50bp2020-2022$980-25.8%COVID, SWIFT weaponization fears (Russia precedent)Offset by…
02/13/20260Comments

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Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché Cryptos MarketsMarkets

When the SOFR rate exceeds the Fed’s emergency rate: the precursor sign of the collateral crash

"Les États-Unis entrent dans une crise du "Collatéral", selon Laurent Maurel. 1. Cette analyse confirme un scénario de crise systémique latente, signalée par un dysfonctionnement critique dans la "tuyauterie financière" (le collatéral, principalement les bons du Trésor américain). 2. Ce phénomène n'est pas une simple récession, mais un mécanisme précurseur d'un "Reset" monétaire. I.…
10/27/20250Comments

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Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché Cryptos MarketsMarkets

2024-2025 The Biggest Buyers of U.S. Debt (Tresuries) : la France 70Md$

❶ II est essentiel de faire une distinction claire entre le budget public et les réserves de change et comprendre que les <70 Md$> évoqués ne proviennent pas directement du Trésor français mais d’entités de l’Eurosystème ou de fonds souverains, représentant environ 30 % des réserves totales (~220 Md€). ❷ L’achat de Treasury s’appuie sur trois piliers : (1)…
10/03/20250Comments

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